2026
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Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills 6–1

AFC East Highmark Stadium · outdoors Joe Brady, HC
Next · Week 9
at Minnesota Vikings · Mon Nov 9, 7:15 PM CST
Team total 23.5 · game total 44.0

Game and team totals: consensus of 11 books via The Odds API, as of Sun Nov 8 10:59 AM EST.

2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Beyond Usage · Dalton Kincaid
+15receiving yards a game
57 receiving yards a game over 7 games, on a workload that usually produces 42

Over his 7 games in 2026, he has gained 15 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces.

Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his 7 games in 2026, he has gained 15 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
points / game 33.3
league 23.1 · 1 of 32
yards / game 405
league 347 · 1 of 32
points allowed 25.9
league 23.0 · 24 of 32
Points added a play allowed +0.063, 10th in the league
EPA / play +0.154
league -0.012 · 2 of 32
neutral pass rate 58%
league 59% · 20 of 32
sec / play 25.6
league 25.5 · 19 of 32

Roster

this week's depth chart · season totals
QB
Pass 135/205 cmp/att1793 yds8.7 Y/A11 TD5 INT
Rush 55 car270 yds4.9 Y/C9 TD
Eff +0.30 EPA/dropback · 3rd+4.0 CPOE · 8thall
2026 · 7 games Beyond Usage The passing yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over his 7 games in 2026, he has gained 32 passing yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. His completion rate is 4 percentage points above an average passer's on the same throws. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count pass yds, oldest to newest: 248, 204, 253, 210, 255, 289
Pass 0/0 cmp/att0 yds— Y/A0 TD0 INT
Rush 2 car-2 yds-1.0 Y/C0 TD
2026 · 1 game
RB
Rush 138 car707 yds5.1 Y/C7 TD
Rec 12/17 rec/tgt110 yds9.2 Y/R0 TD
Eff 5.1 Yds/carry · 6th+0.75 Yds over avg/carry · 12thall
2026 · 7 games Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his 7 games in 2026, he has gained 14 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count rush yds, oldest to newest: 135, 154, 75, 111, 95, 80
Rush 6 car10 yds1.7 Y/C0 TD
Rec 15/15 rec/tgt174 yds11.6 Y/R0 TD
Eff 4.0 Yds/carry · 50th+0.15 Yds over avg/carry · 47th2025all
2026 · 5 games Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his 5 games in 2026, he has gained 19 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count rush yds, oldest to newest: 0, 3, 0, 3, 4
RB3 Ray Davis
Rush 11 car42 yds3.8 Y/C0 TD
Rec 3/3 rec/tgt40 yds13.3 Y/R0 TD
Eff 4.7 Yds/carry · 19th+2.35 Yds over avg/carry · 1st2025all
2026 · 6 games Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his 5 games in 2026, he has gained 5 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count rush yds, oldest to newest: 3, 0, 3, 2, 4, 30
WR
WR1 DJ Moore
Rec 16/27 rec/tgt260 yds16.2 Y/R2 TD
Rush 3 car9 yds3.0 Y/C0 TD
Eff 1.25 Yds/route · 81st+0.30 EPA/tgt · 41stall
2026 · 5 games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his 5 games in 2026, he has gained 4 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count rec yds, oldest to newest: 100, 0, 67, 11, 82
Rec 27/38 rec/tgt354 yds13.1 Y/R1 TD
Eff 1.72 Yds/route · 37th+0.40 EPA/tgt · 29thall
2026 · 7 games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his 7 games in 2026, he has gained 14 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count rec yds, oldest to newest: 38, 6, 82, 80, 34, 64
Rec 20/27 rec/tgt287 yds14.3 Y/R3 TD
Eff 1.27 Yds/route · 79th+0.74 EPA/tgt · 5thall
2026 · 7 games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his 7 games in 2026, he has gained 7 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count rec yds, oldest to newest: 63, 37, 116, 7, 59, 4
WR4 Josh Palmer OUT
Rec 4/12 rec/tgt117 yds29.2 Y/R2 TD
Eff 1.31 Yds/route · 77th+0.18 EPA/tgt · 91st2025all
2026 · 5 games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his 5 games in 2026, he has gained 3 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count rec yds, oldest to newest: 34, 43, 3, 37, 0
Rec 0/0 rec/tgt0 yds— Y/R0 TD
Eff 0.96 Yds/route · 111th+0.13 EPA/tgt · 101st2025all
2026 · 7 games rec yds, oldest to newest: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0
TE
Rec 27/35 rec/tgt401 yds14.9 Y/R2 TD
Eff 2.71 Yds/route · 1st+0.46 EPA/tgt · 7thall
2026 · 7 games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his 7 games in 2026, he has gained 15 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count rec yds, oldest to newest: 95, 38, 7, 7, 38, 86
Rec 9/12 rec/tgt42 yds4.7 Y/R1 TD
Rush 1 car0 yds0.0 Y/C0 TD
Eff 1.30 Yds/route · 26th+0.31 EPA/tgt · 28th2025all
2026 · 7 games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his 7 games in 2026, he has gained 5 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count rec yds, oldest to newest: 5, 5, 13, 6, 0, 6
Rec 1/3 rec/tgt7 yds7.0 Y/R0 TD
Eff 1.19 Yds/route · 35th+0.78 EPA/tgt · 5th2025all
2026 · 4 games rec yds, oldest to newest: 0, 0, 0, 7
Full roster (75)

This week's matchup

season averages, offense vs the defense it faces full game page
Points scored · allowed
Points scored · allowed
Rush yards · allowed
Rush yards · allowed
Pass yards · allowed
Pass yards · allowed
+0.154 Buffalo Bills
EPA / play · allowed
EPA / play · allowed
Buffalo Bills +0.036
Left, the offense; right, what the defense across from it has allowed per game. The defense-vs-position table is on the game page.

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