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Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
2026 · Week 9

Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings

Mon Nov 9, 7:15 PM CST U.S. Bank Stadium Indoors
Depth
Game total
44
points, both teams
OffenseBuffalo Bills Minnesota Vikings
Team total23.520.5
Plays a game59.661.5
Passes vs usual-1.1-1.7

Monday night, the only game on.

Passes vs usual: points of pass rate above or below what teams usually call on the same down, distance and score.

Game and team totals: consensus of 11 books via The Odds API, as of Sun Nov 8 10:59 AM EST.

Without Josh Palmer · Buffalo Bills Ty JohnsonRB
+14scrimmage yards a game
Situation How he has done before in games like this week's. Without Josh Palmer, he has gained 14 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces, over 7 games. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. Counted as of Tuesday. How we count

Key players

who each offense runs through
Buffalo Bills Bills
MIN defense allows a game RB 103yds · 15th over usual WR 123yds · 29th over usual
MIN: one of the 8 toughest against receivers this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Receivers with a real workload have gained 89% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 40% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Buffalo Bills #26 T. JohnsonRB RB2
1.5 car2.8 tgt5% of carries24% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs NE 1 car, 3 rush yds2 rec, 9 rec yds Wk 5 vs LA 0 car, 0 rush yds4 rec, 72 rec yds Wk 6 vs LV 1 car, 3 rush yds2 rec, 24 rec yds Wk 8 vs BAL 4 car, 4 rush yds3 rec, 19 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 15 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 5% of carries over his last 4, 4% this season
  • 1.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs BAL: 4 rushing yards on 4 carries, 3 catches for 19 yards
  • 4.0 yards a carry in 2025, 50th of 74 backs
  • With Josh Palmer out: 12% of the targets in the 7 games he missed since 2025, 6% with him
  • Situation How he has done before in games like this week's. Without Josh Palmer, he has gained 14 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces, over 7 games. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. Counted as of Tuesday. How we count
Buffalo Bills #4 J. CookRB RB1
20 car2.2 tgt66% of carries60% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs NE 12 car, 75 rush yds2 rec, 8 rec yds Wk 5 vs LA 25 car, 111 rush yds1 rec, 7 rec yds Wk 6 vs LV 22 car, 95 rush yds3 rec, 58 rec yds Wk 8 vs BAL 21 car, 80 rush yds2 rec, 21 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 11 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 66% of carries over his last 4, 67% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 103 a game, level with 102 in the 18 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 4.8 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs BAL: 80 rushing yards on 21 carries, 2 catches for 21 yards, 1 touchdown
  • 5.1 yards a carry, 6th of 47 backs
Buffalo Bills #10 K. ShakirWR WR2
5.8 tgt20% of targets68% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs NE 8 tgt, 7 rec, 82 rec yds Wk 5 vs LA 3 tgt, 3 rec, 80 rec yds Wk 6 vs LV 6 tgt, 4 rec, 34 rec yds Wk 8 vs BAL 6 tgt, 5 rec, 64 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 28 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 20% of targets over his last 4, 19% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 38 a game, down from 41 in the 18 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs BAL: 64 receiving yards, 5 catches on 6 targets
  • 1.72 yards per route run in 2025, 37th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • MIN allow 16.6 targets a game to receivers, 24th most
Minnesota Vikings Vikings
BUF defense allows a game TE 71yds · 8th over usual WR 154yds · 11th over usual
Minnesota Vikings #87 T. HockensonTE TE1
6 tgt20% of targets61% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs MIA 13 tgt, 13 rec, 119 rec yds Wk 5 vs NO 1 tgt, 1 rec, 7 rec yds Wk 7 vs IND 5 tgt, 4 rec, 35 rec yds Wk 8 vs DET 5 tgt, 4 rec, 58 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 9 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 20% of targets over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 53 a game, up from 30 in the 15 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.5 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs DET: 58 receiving yards, 4 catches on 5 targets, 1 touchdown
  • 0.98 yards per route run in 2025, 50th of 84 receivers and tight ends
  • BUF allow 9.1 targets a game to tight ends, 4th most
Minnesota Vikings #3 J. AddisonWR WR2
6.5 tgt24% of targets94% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs TB 9 tgt, 5 rec, 90 rec yds Wk 4 vs MIA 6 tgt, 4 rec, 52 rec yds1 car, -1 rush yds Wk 7 vs IND 3 tgt, 2 rec, 20 rec yds1 car, 3 rush yds Wk 8 vs DET 8 tgt, 3 rec, 66 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 4 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 24% of targets over his last 4, 22% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 61 a game, up from 49 in the 14 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • Last game, vs DET: 66 receiving yards, 3 catches on 8 targets
  • 1.38 yards per route run in 2025, 71st of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • BUF allow 19.7 targets a game to receivers, 8th most
Minnesota Vikings #18 J. JeffersonWR WR1
6.2 tgt23% of targets72% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs TB 2 tgt, 2 rec, 32 rec yds Wk 5 vs NO 7 tgt, 6 rec, 79 rec yds1 car, -11 rush yds Wk 7 vs IND 7 tgt, 4 rec, 44 rec yds Wk 8 vs DET 9 tgt, 5 rec, 33 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 1 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 23% of targets over his last 4, 27% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 57 a game, down from 66 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs DET: 33 receiving yards, 5 catches on 9 targets, 1 touchdown
  • 1.91 yards per route run in 2025, 27th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • BUF allow 19.7 targets a game to receivers, 8th most
Vikings news this week

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