2026
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Receivers vs the defense

Week 7, 2026 2026 through week 6

Every week, the defenses that have been hardest and easiest on receivers this season, after adjusting for who they have played, and the players who face them this week. What a defense has allowed is history, never a forecast.

The toughest matchups for receivers

Receivers with a real workload have gained 89% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 40% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Kansas City Chiefs vsSeattle Seahawks Seahawks

Holds them to 38 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Xavier Worthy

21% of targets over his last four, 47 rec yds a game.

Houston Texans atNew York Giants Giants

Holds them to 33 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Nico Collins

21% of targets over his last four, 81 rec yds a game.

Xavier Hutchinson

16% of targets over his last four, 43 rec yds a game.

Las Vegas Raiders atLos Angeles Rams Rams

Holds them to 32 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Tre Tucker

16% of targets over his last four, 56 rec yds a game.

The other 22 defenses on the field this week are on the full board, with the players who face each one.

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The softest matchups for receivers

Receivers with a real workload have gained 97% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 44% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Green Bay Packers vsDetroit Lions Lions

Allows 47 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Matthew Golden

29% of targets over his last four, 87 rec yds a game.

Green Bay Packers News: Matthew Golden is putting together a wild second season Acme Packing Company, 5 d ago

Christian Watson

23% of targets over his last four, 88 rec yds a game.

Christian Watson set to play for Packers, Keisean Nixon listed as questionable ProFootballTalk (RSS), 1 d ago

New York Giants vsHouston Texans Texans

Allows 27 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Malik Nabers

33% of targets over his last four, 106 rec yds a game.

RB Cam Skattebo doubtful, but WR Malik Nabers has no injury designation ProFootballTalk (RSS), 1 d ago

Cleveland Browns vsTennessee Titans Titans

Allows 27 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Denzel Boston

23% of targets over his last four, 48 rec yds a game.

KC Concepcion

16% of targets over his last four, 29 rec yds a game.

KC Concepcion: Browns are confident, getting Shedeur Sanders ready for Sunday ProFootballTalk (RSS), 4 d ago

Yards and targets allowed are from each defense's final games this season. Every rank is over usual: what the defense allowed each game against that offense's own average in its other games, 1st the biggest margin, over each row's games. Shares are of the team's carries or targets over the player's last four games. Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0). The definitions and the record are on How we count.

Data and context only, never advice. By using Black Swan Stats you agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy. Not affiliated with the NFL or any team.

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