2026
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Receivers vs the defense

Week 9, 2026 2026 through week 8

Every week, the defenses that have been hardest and easiest on receivers this season, after adjusting for who they have played, and the players who face them this week. What a defense has allowed is history, never a forecast.

The toughest matchups for receivers

Receivers with a real workload have gained 89% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 40% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Arizona Cardinals vsSeattle Seahawks Seahawks

Holds them to 40 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Michael Wilson

23% of targets over his last four, 57 rec yds a game.

Philadelphia Eagles atNew York Giants Giants

Holds them to 39 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Makai Lemon

21% of targets over his last four, 47 rec yds a game.

Eagles-Commanders snap counts: Makai Lemon seeing more opportunity Bleeding Green Nation, 5 d ago

Chicago Bears atTampa Bay Buccaneers Buccaneers

Holds them to 34 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Luther Burden III

20% of targets over his last four, 82 rec yds a game.

Luther Burden III, Rome Odunze developing interesting WR dynamic for Bears Windy City Gridiron, 3 h ago

Rome Odunze

17% of targets over his last four, 59 rec yds a game.

Luther Burden III, Rome Odunze developing interesting WR dynamic for Bears Windy City Gridiron, 3 h ago

The other 24 defenses on the field this week are on the full board, with the players who face each one.

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The softest matchups for receivers

Receivers with a real workload have gained 97% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 44% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Baltimore Ravens atJacksonville Jaguars Jaguars

Allows 53 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Zay Flowers

31% of targets over his last four, 64 rec yds a game.

Los Angeles Chargers atHouston Texans Texans

Allows 32 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

KeAndre Lambert-Smith

25% of targets over his last four, 16 rec yds a game.

Tre Harris

17% of targets over his last four, 46 rec yds a game.

Miami Dolphins atDetroit Lions Lions

Allows 28 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Malik Washington

24% of targets over his last four, 44 rec yds a game.

Caleb Douglas

18% of targets over his last four, 57 rec yds a game.

Yards and targets allowed are from each defense's final games this season. Every rank is over usual: what the defense allowed each game against that offense's own average in its other games, 1st the biggest margin, over each row's games. Shares are of the team's carries or targets over the player's last four games. Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0). The definitions and the record are on How we count.

Data and context only, never advice. By using Black Swan Stats you agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy. Not affiliated with the NFL or any team.

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