2026
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Receivers vs the defense

Week 6, 2026 2026 through week 5

Every week, the defenses that have been hardest and easiest on receivers this season, after adjusting for who they have played, and the players who face them this week. What a defense has allowed is history, never a forecast.

The toughest matchups for receivers

Receivers with a real workload have gained 89% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 40% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Pittsburgh Steelers vsTampa Bay Buccaneers Buccaneers

Holds them to 37 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Germie Bernard

24% of targets over his last four, 35 rec yds a game.

Watt, Bernard nominated for midseason awards Pittsburgh Steelers official site, 3 d ago

DK Metcalf

24% of targets over his last four, 46 rec yds a game.

Arizona Cardinals vsLos Angeles Rams Rams

Holds them to 37 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Michael Wilson

23% of targets over his last four, 58 rec yds a game.

Denver Broncos atSeattle Seahawks Seahawks

Holds them to 36 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Courtland Sutton

15% of targets over his last four, 23 rec yds a game.

The other 22 defenses on the field this week are on the full board, with the players who face each one.

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The softest matchups for receivers

Receivers with a real workload have gained 97% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 44% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Houston Texans vsJacksonville Jaguars Jaguars

Allows 71 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Nico Collins

21% of targets over his last four, 83 rec yds a game.

Xavier Hutchinson

16% of targets over his last four, 50 rec yds a game.

Jacksonville Jaguars atHouston Texans Texans

Allows 34 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Parker Washington

22% of targets over his last four, 67 rec yds a game.

Jakobi Meyers

18% of targets over his last four, 41 rec yds a game.

Buffalo Bills vsLas Vegas Raiders Raiders

Allows 31 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Khalil Shakir

20% of targets over his last four, 52 rec yds a game.

DJ Moore

17% of targets over his last four, 45 rec yds a game.

Ravens LB Roquan Smith fined for missed penalties vs. Bills QB Josh Allen, WR DJ Moore Buffalo Rumblings, 18 h ago

Yards and targets allowed are from each defense's final games this season. Every rank is over usual: what the defense allowed each game against that offense's own average in its other games, 1st the biggest margin, over each row's games. Shares are of the team's carries or targets over the player's last four games. Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0). The definitions and the record are on How we count.

Data and context only, never advice. By using Black Swan Stats you agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy. Not affiliated with the NFL or any team.

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