2026
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Quarterbacks vs the defense

Week 4, 2026 2026 through week 3

Every week, the defenses that have been hardest and easiest on quarterbacks this season, after adjusting for who they have played, and the players who face them this week. What a defense has allowed is history, never a forecast.

The toughest matchups for quarterbacks

Quarterbacks with a real workload have gained 93% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 40% of games. Against the middle of the league, 48% have.

Los Angeles Chargers vsSeattle Seahawks Seahawks

Holds them to 76 fewer passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Justin Herbert

29 attempts a game over his last four, 209 pass yds a game.

Justin Herbert hopes to reverse struggles against DeMeco Ryans defenses ProFootballTalk (RSS), 1 h ago

Buffalo Bills atNew England Patriots Patriots

Holds them to 70 fewer passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Josh Allen

29 attempts a game over his last four, 262 pass yds a game.

Ravens LB Roquan Smith fined for missed penalties vs. Bills QB Josh Allen, WR DJ Moore Buffalo Rumblings, 19 h ago

Denver Broncos vsSan Francisco 49ers 49ers

Holds them to 38 fewer passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Bo Nix

31 attempts a game over his last four, 202 pass yds a game.

Broncos and Bo Nix have won 16 straight one-score games ProFootballTalk (RSS), 20 h ago

The other 26 defenses on the field this week are on the full board, with the players who face each one.

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The softest matchups for quarterbacks

Quarterbacks with a real workload have gained 100% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 50% of games. Against the middle of the league, 48% have.

Jacksonville Jaguars vsCincinnati Bengals Bengals

Allows 79 more passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Trevor Lawrence

27 attempts a game over his last four, 205 pass yds a game.

Trevor Lawrence is having by far the best season of his career ProFootballTalk (RSS), 2 d ago

Carolina Panthers atDetroit Lions Lions

Allows 75 more passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Bryce Young

40 attempts a game over his last four, 313 pass yds a game.

Bryce Young a full participant but with an ankle injury ProFootballTalk (RSS), 3 d ago

Indianapolis Colts vsWashington Commanders Commanders

Allows 70 more passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Daniel Jones

33 attempts a game over his last four, 204 pass yds a game.

Daniel Jones has several million reasons to want to be traded to a contender ProFootballTalk (RSS), 7 h ago

Yards and targets allowed are from each defense's final games this season. Every rank is over usual: what the defense allowed each game against that offense's own average in its other games, 1st the biggest margin, over each row's games. Shares are of the team's carries or targets over the player's last four games. Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0). The definitions and the record are on How we count.

Data and context only, never advice. By using Black Swan Stats you agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy. Not affiliated with the NFL or any team.

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