2026
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Quarterbacks vs the defense

Week 16, 2026 2026 through week 8

Every week, the defenses that have been hardest and easiest on quarterbacks this season, after adjusting for who they have played, and the players who face them this week. What a defense has allowed is history, never a forecast.

The toughest matchups for quarterbacks

Quarterbacks with a real workload have gained 93% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 40% of games. Against the middle of the league, 48% have.

Los Angeles Rams vsSeattle Seahawks Seahawks

Holds them to 72 fewer passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Matthew Stafford

35 attempts a game over his last four, 239 pass yds a game.

Rams listed Matthew Stafford with elbow injury because reporters asked about ice on it ProFootballTalk (RSS), 1 d ago

Detroit Lions atNew York Giants Giants

Holds them to 55 fewer passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Jared Goff

35 attempts a game over his last four, 291 pass yds a game.

Washington Commanders vsMinnesota Vikings Vikings

Holds them to 54 fewer passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Jayden Daniels

28 attempts a game over his last four, 203 pass yds a game.

Jayden Daniels tosses 7-yard TD, Commanders lead Rams 10-3 ProFootballTalk (RSS), 1 h ago

The other 26 defenses on the field this week are on the full board, with the players who face each one.

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The softest matchups for quarterbacks

Quarterbacks with a real workload have gained 100% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 50% of games. Against the middle of the league, 48% have.

New York Giants vsDetroit Lions Lions

Allows 59 more passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Jameis Winston

33 attempts a game over his last four, 182 pass yds a game.

Indianapolis Colts atCincinnati Bengals Bengals

Allows 57 more passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Daniel Jones

34 attempts a game over his last four, 197 pass yds a game.

Daniel Jones has several million reasons to want to be traded to a contender ProFootballTalk (RSS), 5 h ago

Las Vegas Raiders atTennessee Titans Titans

Allows 42 more passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Kirk Cousins

35 attempts a game over his last four, 275 pass yds a game.

Kirk Cousins silences quarterback change talks in Week 8 win over New York Jets Silver And Black Pride, 6 d ago

Yards and targets allowed are from each defense's final games this season. Every rank is over usual: what the defense allowed each game against that offense's own average in its other games, 1st the biggest margin, over each row's games. Shares are of the team's carries or targets over the player's last four games. Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0). The definitions and the record are on How we count.

Data and context only, never advice. By using Black Swan Stats you agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy. Not affiliated with the NFL or any team.

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