2026
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Receivers vs the defense

Week 13, 2026 2026 through week 8

Every week, the defenses that have been hardest and easiest on receivers this season, after adjusting for who they have played, and the players who face them this week. What a defense has allowed is history, never a forecast.

The toughest matchups for receivers

Receivers with a real workload have gained 89% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 40% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Dallas Cowboys vsSeattle Seahawks Seahawks

Holds them to 40 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

CeeDee Lamb

33% of targets over his last four, 53 rec yds a game.

George Pickens

22% of targets over his last four, 77 rec yds a game.

George Pickens, Joey Porter Jr. will not play for the Cowboys ProFootballTalk (RSS), 3 h ago

San Francisco 49ers vsNew York Giants Giants

Holds them to 39 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Mike Evans

26% of targets over his last four, 79 rec yds a game.

49ers WR Mike Evans is questionable ‘at best’ for next week Niners Nation, 16 min ago

Los Angeles Chargers vsTampa Bay Buccaneers Buccaneers

Holds them to 34 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

KeAndre Lambert-Smith

25% of targets over his last four, 16 rec yds a game.

Tre Harris

17% of targets over his last four, 46 rec yds a game.

The other 22 defenses on the field this week are on the full board, with the players who face each one.

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The softest matchups for receivers

Receivers with a real workload have gained 97% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 44% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Chicago Bears atJacksonville Jaguars Jaguars

Allows 53 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Luther Burden III

20% of targets over his last four, 82 rec yds a game.

Luther Burden III, Rome Odunze developing interesting WR dynamic for Bears Windy City Gridiron, 3 h ago

Rome Odunze

17% of targets over his last four, 59 rec yds a game.

Luther Burden III, Rome Odunze developing interesting WR dynamic for Bears Windy City Gridiron, 3 h ago

Washington Commanders vsTennessee Titans Titans

Allows 46 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Stefon Diggs

23% of targets over his last four, 38 rec yds a game.

Stefon Diggs, Jayden Daniels among best Commanders from Week 8 win Hogs Haven, 5 d ago

Antonio Williams

18% of targets over his last four, 39 rec yds a game.

Dan Quinn: None of the moments were too big for rookies Antonio Williams, Sonny Styles Hogs Haven, 4 d ago

Pittsburgh Steelers atHouston Texans Texans

Allows 32 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Germie Bernard

24% of targets over his last four, 56 rec yds a game.

Watt, Bernard nominated for midseason awards Pittsburgh Steelers official site, 3 d ago

DK Metcalf

24% of targets over his last four, 41 rec yds a game.

Yards and targets allowed are from each defense's final games this season. Every rank is over usual: what the defense allowed each game against that offense's own average in its other games, 1st the biggest margin, over each row's games. Shares are of the team's carries or targets over the player's last four games. Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0). The definitions and the record are on How we count.

Data and context only, never advice. By using Black Swan Stats you agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy. Not affiliated with the NFL or any team.

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