2026
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Outlined = current league week
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Week 1 Swans

Week 1 games well outside what the player's last four games pointed to, split into role and beyond
#Player YdsLast 4RoleBeyond Swan
1 Buffalo Bills Dalton KincaidTE 13031+31+68 Swan A game far outside what his recent workload pointed to. Week 1: 130 receiving yards, where his last four games pointed to 31. +31 of that came from his role that day, +68 from what he did with the ball. In past seasons, the next game has kept about a third of the role part and about a tenth of the beyond part. How we count
2 New York Giants Isaiah LikelyTE 7820+41+17 Swan A game far outside what his recent workload pointed to. Week 1: 78 receiving yards, where his last four games pointed to 20. +41 of that came from his role that day, +17 from what he did with the ball. In past seasons, the next game has kept about a third of the role part and about a tenth of the beyond part. How we count
3 Cincinnati Bengals Mike GesickiTE 7823+33+22 Swan A game far outside what his recent workload pointed to. Week 1: 78 receiving yards, where his last four games pointed to 23. +33 of that came from his role that day, +22 from what he did with the ball. In past seasons, the next game has kept about a third of the role part and about a tenth of the beyond part. How we count
4 Los Angeles Chargers David NjokuTE 5810+26+23 Swan A game far outside what his recent workload pointed to. Week 1: 58 receiving yards, where his last four games pointed to 10. +26 of that came from his role that day, +23 from what he did with the ball. In past seasons, the next game has kept about a third of the role part and about a tenth of the beyond part. How we count
  1. 1 Buffalo Bills Dalton Kincaid TE 130rec yds Swan A game far outside what his recent workload pointed to. Week 1: 130 receiving yards, where his last four games pointed to 31. +31 of that came from his role that day, +68 from what he did with the ball. In past seasons, the next game has kept about a third of the role part and about a tenth of the beyond part. How we count Swan A game far outside what his recent workload pointed to. Week 1: 130 receiving yards, where his last four games pointed to 31. +31 of that came from his role that day, +68 from what he did with the ball. In past seasons, the next game has kept about a third of the role part and about a tenth of the beyond part. How we count
  2. 2 New York Giants Isaiah Likely TE 78rec yds Swan A game far outside what his recent workload pointed to. Week 1: 78 receiving yards, where his last four games pointed to 20. +41 of that came from his role that day, +17 from what he did with the ball. In past seasons, the next game has kept about a third of the role part and about a tenth of the beyond part. How we count Swan A game far outside what his recent workload pointed to. Week 1: 78 receiving yards, where his last four games pointed to 20. +41 of that came from his role that day, +17 from what he did with the ball. In past seasons, the next game has kept about a third of the role part and about a tenth of the beyond part. How we count
  3. 3 Cincinnati Bengals Mike Gesicki TE 78rec yds Swan A game far outside what his recent workload pointed to. Week 1: 78 receiving yards, where his last four games pointed to 23. +33 of that came from his role that day, +22 from what he did with the ball. In past seasons, the next game has kept about a third of the role part and about a tenth of the beyond part. How we count Swan A game far outside what his recent workload pointed to. Week 1: 78 receiving yards, where his last four games pointed to 23. +33 of that came from his role that day, +22 from what he did with the ball. In past seasons, the next game has kept about a third of the role part and about a tenth of the beyond part. How we count
  4. 4 Los Angeles Chargers David Njoku TE 58rec yds Swan A game far outside what his recent workload pointed to. Week 1: 58 receiving yards, where his last four games pointed to 10. +26 of that came from his role that day, +23 from what he did with the ball. In past seasons, the next game has kept about a third of the role part and about a tenth of the beyond part. How we count Swan A game far outside what his recent workload pointed to. Week 1: 58 receiving yards, where his last four games pointed to 10. +26 of that came from his role that day, +23 from what he did with the ball. In past seasons, the next game has kept about a third of the role part and about a tenth of the beyond part. How we count

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