2026
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Outlined = current league week
Sign in Sign up
Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
2026 · Week 9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears Chicago Bears

Sun Nov 8, 7:20 PM CST Soldier Field 51°F, wind 10 mph, clear
Depth
Game total
47.5
points, both teams
OffenseTampa Bay Buccaneers Chicago Bears
Team total20.826.8
Plays a game56.263.9
Passes vs usual-9.1+0

Sunday night, the only game on.

Passes vs usual: points of pass rate above or below what teams usually call on the same down, distance and score.

Game and team totals: consensus of 11 books via The Odds API, as of Sun Nov 8 10:59 AM EST.

Role · Tampa Bay Buccaneers Bucky IrvingRB
+33scrimmage yards a game

Over his last 4 games his workload has been worth 115 scrimmage yards a game, against 83 in his 4 games before.

Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 115 a game, up from 83 in the 4 games before. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count

Key players

who each offense runs through
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Buccaneers
CHI defense allows a game WR 150yds · 22nd over usual RB 72yds · 27th over usual
CHI: one of the 8 toughest against running backs this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Backs with a real workload have gained 84% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 33% of games. Against the middle of the league, 42% have.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers #2 E. EgbukaWR WR1 Q
9.5 tgt29% of targets86% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs MIN 9 tgt, 5 rec, 62 rec yds Wk 4 vs GB 4 tgt, 2 rec, 13 rec yds Wk 5 vs DAL 9 tgt, 6 rec, 38 rec yds1 car, 14 rush yds Wk 6 vs PIT 16 tgt, 7 rec, 48 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 32 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Questionable (Foot)
  • 29% of targets over his last 4, 26% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 72 a game, up from 63 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.2 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs PIT: 48 receiving yards, 7 catches on 16 targets, 1 touchdown
  • 1.77 yards per route run in 2025, 33rd of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • CHI allow 16.3 targets a game to receivers, 26th most
Tampa Bay Buccaneers #7 B. IrvingRB RB1
22.8 car2 tgt58% of carries62% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs DAL 21 car, 165 rush yds2 rec, 10 rec yds Wk 6 vs PIT 19 car, 46 rush yds2 rec, 3 rec yds Wk 7 vs CAR 24 car, 106 rush yds1 rec, 4 rec yds Wk 8 vs ATL 27 car, 170 rush yds0 rec, 0 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 11 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 58% of carries over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 115 a game, up from 83 in the 4 games before. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 6.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs ATL: 170 rushing yards on 27 carries, 1 touchdown
  • 5.0 yards a carry, 9th of 47 backs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers #1 K. GainwellRB RB2
11.2 car1.5 tgt24% of carries33% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs DAL 4 car, 18 rush yds3 rec, 10 rec yds Wk 6 vs PIT 2 car, 17 rush yds1 rec, 7 rec yds Wk 7 vs CAR 14 car, 88 rush yds0 rec, 0 rec yds Wk 8 vs ATL 25 car, 140 rush yds0 rec, 0 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 13 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 24% of carries over his last 4, 19% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 60 a game, up from 57 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 0.5 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs ATL: 140 rushing yards on 25 carries
  • 5.0 yards a carry, 8th of 47 backs
  • Vs CHI: 92 rushing yards in his one game, 25 in all his games
Buccaneers news this week
Chicago Bears Bears
TB defense allows a game TE 56yds · 10th over usual RB 68yds · 29th over usual WR 131yds · 30th over usual
TB: one of the 8 toughest against running backs this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Backs with a real workload have gained 84% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 33% of games. Against the middle of the league, 42% have.

TB: one of the 8 toughest against receivers this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Receivers with a real workload have gained 89% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 40% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Chicago Bears #84 C. LovelandTE TE1
8.2 tgt25% of targets86% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs GB 5 tgt, 2 rec, 19 rec yds Wk 6 vs ATL 7 tgt, 6 rec, 65 rec yds Wk 7 vs NE 12 tgt, 7 rec, 69 rec yds Wk 8 vs SEA 9 tgt, 7 rec, 65 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 8 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 25% of targets over his last 4, 20% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 63 a game, up from 32 in the 4 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs SEA: 65 receiving yards, 7 catches on 9 targets
  • 1.88 yards per route run in 2025, 5th of 84 receivers and tight ends
  • TB allow 8.1 targets a game to tight ends, 10th most
Chicago Bears #4 D. SwiftRB RB1
18.5 car4.2 tgt61% of carries70% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs GB 9 car, 43 rush yds4 rec, 30 rec yds Wk 6 vs ATL 16 car, 44 rush yds4 rec, 26 rec yds Wk 7 vs NE 22 car, 78 rush yds4 rec, 12 rec yds Wk 8 vs SEA 27 car, 69 rush yds2 rec, 10 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 24 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 61% of carries over his last 4, 54% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 102 a game, up from 90 in the 4 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 4.4 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs SEA: 69 rushing yards on 27 carries, 2 catches for 10 yards, 3 touchdowns
  • 3.8 yards a carry, 32nd of 47 backs
Chicago Bears #10 L. Burden IIIWR WR2
6.8 tgt20% of targets58% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs GB 6 tgt, 4 rec, 47 rec yds4 car, 2 rush yds Wk 6 vs ATL 8 tgt, 8 rec, 95 rec yds Wk 7 vs NE 4 tgt, 4 rec, 130 rec yds1 car, 7 rush yds Wk 8 vs SEA 9 tgt, 7 rec, 56 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 33 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 20% of targets over his last 4, 22% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 49 a game, down from 54 in the 4 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.7 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs SEA: 56 receiving yards, 7 catches on 9 targets, 1 touchdown
  • 2.37 yards per route run in 2025, 7th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • TB allow 18.0 targets a game to receivers, 18th most
  • Situation How he has done before in games like this week's. Under Ben Johnson, he has gained 21 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces, over 22 games. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. Counted as of Tuesday. How we count
Bears news this week

Data and context only, never advice. By using Black Swan Stats you agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy. Not affiliated with the NFL or any team.

Read them