2026
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Outlined = current league week
Sign in Sign up
Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
2026 · Week 9

Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens

Thu Nov 5, 8:15 PM EST M&T Bank Stadium 21% 68°F, wind 5 mph, slight chance rain showers Final 33–10
Depth
Game total
39.5
points, both teams
OffenseJacksonville Jaguars Baltimore Ravens
Team total24.814.8
Plays a game60.359.1
Passes vs usual-4.1-3.5

Thursday night, the only game on. The Ravens are on a short week, 4 days' rest. The Jaguars are on a short week, 4 days' rest.

Passes vs usual: points of pass rate above or below what teams usually call on the same down, distance and score.

Game and team totals: consensus of 11 books via The Odds API, as of Thu Nov 5 10:59 AM EST.

Key players

who each offense runs through
Jacksonville Jaguars Jaguars
BAL defense allows a game WR 178yds · 5th over usual RB 82yds · 19th over usual
BAL: one of the 8 softest against receivers this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Receivers with a real workload have gained 97% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 44% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Jacksonville Jaguars #11 P. WashingtonWR WR1
7.2 tgt19% of targets76% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs PHI 9 tgt, 6 rec, 124 rec yds Wk 6 vs HOU 11 tgt, 4 rec, 64 rec yds Wk 8 vs IND 2 tgt, 1 rec, 16 rec yds1 car, 10 rush yds Wk 9 vs BAL 7 tgt, 2 rec, 61 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 2 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 19% of targets over his last 4, 24% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 50 a game, down from 60 in the 14 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.5 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs BAL: 61 receiving yards, 2 catches on 7 targets, 1 touchdown
  • 2.22 yards per route run in 2025, 15th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • BAL allow 19.3 targets a game to receivers, 10th most
  • Vs BAL: 61 receiving yards in his one game, 47 in all his games
  • Vs Anthony Weaver: 32 receiving yards a game over 2, 47 in all his games
Jacksonville Jaguars #3 J. MeyersWR WR2
5.5 tgt17% of targets74% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs PHI 3 tgt, 2 rec, 37 rec yds Wk 6 vs HOU 10 tgt, 5 rec, 83 rec yds Wk 8 vs IND 3 tgt, 2 rec, 24 rec yds Wk 9 vs BAL 6 tgt, 4 rec, 65 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 5 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 17% of targets over his last 4, 16% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 39 a game, down from 52 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.2 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs BAL: 65 receiving yards, 4 catches on 6 targets
  • 1.52 yards per route run in 2025, 54th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • BAL allow 19.3 targets a game to receivers, 10th most
  • Vs BAL: 47 receiving yards a game over 2, 56 in all his games
  • Vs Anthony Weaver: 47 receiving yards a game over 2, 56 in all his games
Jacksonville Jaguars #33 B. TutenRB RB1 Q
15.5 car2.2 tgt61% of carries59% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs PHI 22 car, 72 rush yds2 rec, 24 rec yds Wk 6 vs HOU 12 car, 39 rush yds4 rec, 48 rec yds Wk 8 vs IND 16 car, 104 rush yds2 rec, 55 rec yds Wk 9 vs BAL 12 car, 29 rush yds0 rec, 0 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 18 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Questionable (Ankle)
  • 61% of carries over his last 4, 57% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 91 a game, up from 73 in the 3 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 3.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs BAL: 29 rushing yards on 12 carries, 1 touchdown
  • 4.3 yards a carry, 20th of 47 backs
  • Vs BAL: 29 rushing yards in his one game, 37 in all his games
Baltimore Ravens Ravens
JAX defense allows a game WR 196yds · 1st over usual RB 58yds · 30th over usual
JAX: one of the 8 toughest against running backs this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Backs with a real workload have gained 84% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 33% of games. Against the middle of the league, 42% have.

JAX: one of the 8 softest against receivers this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Receivers with a real workload have gained 97% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 44% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Baltimore Ravens #4 Z. FlowersWR WR1
8.2 tgt29% of targets84% snaps
last 4 Wk 6 vs CLE 11 tgt, 6 rec, 66 rec yds1 car, 1 rush yds Wk 7 vs CIN 11 tgt, 8 rec, 137 rec yds Wk 8 vs BUF 5 tgt, 0 rec, 0 rec yds Wk 9 vs JAX 6 tgt, 3 rec, 6 rec yds3 car, 17 rush yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 2 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 29% of targets over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 66 a game, up from 56 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 0.7 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs JAX: 6 receiving yards, 3 catches on 6 targets
  • 2.54 yards per route run in 2025, 4th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • JAX allow 20.1 targets a game to receivers, 6th most
  • Vs JAX: 6 receiving yards in his one game, 69 in all his games
Baltimore Ravens #22 D. HenryRB RB1
15.5 car1.2 tgt67% of carries52% snaps
last 4 Wk 6 vs CLE 17 car, 58 rush yds1 rec, 2 rec yds Wk 7 vs CIN 17 car, 45 rush yds1 rec, 4 rec yds Wk 8 vs BUF 11 car, 53 rush yds2 rec, 7 rec yds Wk 9 vs JAX 17 car, 57 rush yds0 rec, 0 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 16 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 67% of carries over his last 4, 70% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 88 a game, down from 107 in the 4 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 3.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs JAX: -3 passing yards, 57 rushing
  • 3.9 yards a carry, 29th of 47 backs
  • Vs JAX: 57 rushing yards in his one game, 99 in all his games
Baltimore Ravens #43 J. HillRB RB2
3.8 car4.5 tgt10% of carries46% snaps
last 4 Wk 6 vs CLE 0 car, 0 rush yds3 rec, 9 rec yds Wk 7 vs CIN 3 car, 7 rush yds3 rec, 26 rec yds Wk 8 vs BUF 3 car, 15 rush yds4 rec, 20 rec yds Wk 9 vs JAX 9 car, 85 rush yds3 rec, 7 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 5 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 10% of carries over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 33 a game, up from 21 in the 4 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 0.7 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs JAX: 85 rushing yards on 9 carries, 3 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown
  • Vs JAX: 85 rushing yards in his one game, 17 in all his games
Ravens news this week

Data and context only, never advice. By using Black Swan Stats you agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy. Not affiliated with the NFL or any team.

Read them