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Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
2026 · Week 8

New England Patriots New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins

Sun Nov 1, 4:25 PM EST Hard Rock Stadium 76% 79°F, wind 13 mph, showers and thunderstorms Final 24–19
Depth
Game total
41.5
points, both teams
OffenseNew England Patriots Miami Dolphins
Team total24.217.2
Plays a game59.257.2
Passes vs usual+0.8-11.1
Days' rest107

A division game.

Passes vs usual: points of pass rate above or below what teams usually call on the same down, distance and score.

Game and team totals: consensus of 11 books via The Odds API, as of Sun Nov 1 11:00 AM EST.

Beyond Usage · New England Patriots A.J. BrownWR
−29receiving yards a game

Over his last 4 games, he has gained 29 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces.

Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 29 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count

Key players

who each offense runs through
New England Patriots Patriots
MIA defense allows a game RB 103yds · 10th over usual WR 116yds · 26th over usual
MIA: one of the 8 toughest against receivers this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Receivers with a real workload have gained 90% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 40% of games. Against the middle of the league, 41% have.

New England Patriots #38 R. StevensonRB RB1
13 car2.8 tgt40% of carries66% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs LV 13 car, 64 rush yds3 rec, 21 rec yds Wk 6 vs NYJ 14 car, 36 rush yds0 rec, 0 rec yds Wk 7 vs CHI 6 car, 22 rush yds5 rec, 93 rec yds Wk 8 vs MIA 19 car, 82 rush yds3 rec, 8 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 8 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 40% of carries over his last 4, 38% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 70 a game, up from 64 in the 18 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 2.4 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs MIA: 82 rushing yards on 19 carries, 3 catches for 8 yards
  • 3.8 yards a carry, 32nd of 47 backs
  • Vs MIA: 74 rushing yards a game over 5, 49 in all his games Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over 5 games, he has gained 29 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Sean Duggan: 82 rushing yards in his one game, 49 in all his games
New England Patriots #1 A. BrownWR WR1 Q
6.7 tgt22% of targets78% snaps
last 3 Wk 1 vs SEA 4 tgt, 3 rec, 26 rec yds Wk 6 vs NYJ 10 tgt, 3 rec, 27 rec yds Wk 7 vs CHI 6 tgt, 3 rec, 48 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 29 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Questionable (Ankle)
  • 22% of targets over his last 4
  • 1.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs CHI: 48 receiving yards, 3 catches on 6 targets
  • 2.00 yards per route run in 2025, 21st of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • MIA allow 13.0 targets a game to receivers, 32nd most
New England Patriots #3 D. DouglasWR WR2
5 tgt16% of targets55% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs LV 5 tgt, 4 rec, 65 rec yds Wk 6 vs NYJ 8 tgt, 7 rec, 86 rec yds Wk 7 vs CHI 4 tgt, 3 rec, 23 rec yds Wk 8 vs MIA 3 tgt, 3 rec, 76 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 8 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 16% of targets over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 39 a game, up from 32 in the 5 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count Second week A change in his role that held for a second straight week. The same move as week 7, and it held a second week. How we count
  • 0.5 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs MIA: 76 receiving yards, 3 catches on 3 targets, 1 touchdown
  • 1.82 yards per route run in 2025, 31st of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • MIA allow 13.0 targets a game to receivers, 32nd most
  • Vs MIA: 47 receiving yards a game over 5, 34 in all his games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over 5 games, he has gained 12 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Sean Duggan: 76 receiving yards in his one game, 34 in all his games
Patriots news this week
Miami Dolphins Dolphins
NE defense allows a game RB 83yds · 26th over usual WR 150yds · 15th over usual TE 54yds · 23rd over usual
NE: one of the 8 toughest against running backs this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Backs with a real workload have gained 84% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 33% of games. Against the middle of the league, 42% have.

NE: one of the 8 toughest against tight ends this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Tight ends with a real workload have gained 85% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 34% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Miami Dolphins #0 O. Gordon IIRB RB1
17.8 car1.5 tgt55% of carries72% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs MIN 9 car, 100 rush yds2 rec, 0 rec yds Wk 5 vs CIN 18 car, 88 rush yds0 rec, 0 rec yds Wk 7 vs NYJ 25 car, 103 rush yds1 rec, 0 rec yds Wk 8 vs NE 19 car, 69 rush yds0 rec, 0 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 2 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 55% of carries over his last 4, 46% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 85 a game, up from 41 in the 4 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count Second week A change in his role that held for a second straight week. The same move as week 7, and it held a second week. How we count
  • 4.8 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs NE: 69 rushing yards on 19 carries
  • 4.5 yards a carry, 18th of 47 backs
  • Vs NE: 29 rushing yards a game over 3, 26 in all his games Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over 3 games, he has gained 17 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Zak Kuhr: 69 rushing yards in his one game, 26 in all his games
Miami Dolphins #6 M. WashingtonWR WR1
5.5 tgt26% of targets83% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs MIN 5 tgt, 5 rec, 67 rec yds2 car, 3 rush yds Wk 5 vs CIN 8 tgt, 6 rec, 43 rec yds1 car, 18 rush yds Wk 7 vs NYJ 3 tgt, 3 rec, 27 rec yds2 car, 8 rush yds Wk 8 vs NE 6 tgt, 5 rec, 40 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 4 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 26% of targets over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 52 a game, up from 25 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs NE: 40 receiving yards, 5 catches on 6 targets, 1 touchdown
  • 0.90 yards per route run in 2025, 118th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • NE allow 17.0 targets a game to receivers, 24th most
  • Vs NE: 10 receiving yards a game over 5, 23 in all his games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over 5 games, he has gained 7 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Zak Kuhr: 40 receiving yards in his one game, 23 in all his games
Miami Dolphins #85 G. DulcichTE TE1
5.8 tgt19% of targets68% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs KC 7 tgt, 5 rec, 55 rec yds Wk 5 vs CIN 5 tgt, 4 rec, 37 rec yds Wk 7 vs NYJ 5 tgt, 5 rec, 86 rec yds Wk 8 vs NE 6 tgt, 4 rec, 43 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 11 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 19% of targets over his last 4, 17% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 38 a game, up from 25 in the 8 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs NE: 43 receiving yards, 4 catches on 6 targets
  • 2.33 yards per route run in 2025, 2nd of 84 receivers and tight ends
  • NE allow 8.0 targets a game to tight ends, 15th most
  • Vs NE: 37 receiving yards a game over 2, 33 in all his games
  • Vs Zak Kuhr: 43 receiving yards in his one game, 33 in all his games

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