2026
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Outlined = current league week
Sign in Sign up
Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
2026 · Week 8

Cleveland Browns Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers

Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST Acrisure Stadium 66°F, wind 5 mph, cloudy Final 6–27
Game total
39
points, both teams
OffenseCleveland Browns Pittsburgh Steelers
Team total17.821.2
Plays a game59.962.4
Passes vs usual-0.4+3.6

A division game.

Passes vs usual: points of pass rate above or below what teams usually call on the same down, distance and score.

Game and team totals: consensus of 11 books via The Odds API, as of Sun Nov 1 11:00 AM EST.

Role · Pittsburgh Steelers Jaylen WarrenRB
+24scrimmage yards a game

Over his last 4 games his workload has been worth 97 scrimmage yards a game, against 73 in his 16 games before.

Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 97 a game, up from 73 in the 16 games before. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count

Key players

who each offense runs through
PIT defense allows a game WR 147yds · 17th over usual TE 42yds · 20th over usual RB 75yds · 30th over usual
PIT: one of the 8 toughest against running backs this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Backs with a real workload have gained 84% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 33% of games. Against the middle of the league, 42% have.

Cleveland Browns #12 D. BostonWR WR1
7.8 tgt22% of targets91% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs NYJ 7 tgt, 3 rec, 46 rec yds Wk 6 vs BAL 5 tgt, 1 rec, 15 rec yds Wk 7 vs TEN 8 tgt, 3 rec, 27 rec yds Wk 8 vs PIT 11 tgt, 6 rec, 37 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 19 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 22% of targets over his last 4, 20% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 64 a game, up from 44 in the 3 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.2 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs PIT: 37 receiving yards, 6 catches on 11 targets
  • 4.7 yards after the catch per catch, 32nd of 92 receivers and tight ends
  • PIT allow 20.3 targets a game to receivers, 8th most
  • Vs PIT: 63 receiving yards a game over 2, 51 in all his games
Cleveland Browns #44 H. Fannin Jr.TE TE1
7 tgt16% of targets88% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs NYJ 4 tgt, 1 rec, 4 rec yds Wk 6 vs BAL 3 tgt, 1 rec, 9 rec yds Wk 7 vs TEN 9 tgt, 6 rec, 91 rec yds Wk 8 vs PIT 12 tgt, 10 rec, 154 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 5 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 16% of targets over his last 4, 18% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 37 a game, down from 50 in the 15 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • Last game, vs PIT: 154 receiving yards, 10 catches on 12 targets
  • 1.59 yards per route run in 2025, 12th of 84 receivers and tight ends
  • PIT allow 5.7 targets a game to tight ends, 31st most
  • Vs PIT: 73 receiving yards a game over 4, 48 in all his games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over 4 games, he has gained 18 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Patrick Graham: 74 receiving yards a game over 3, 48 in all his games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over 3 games, he has gained 19 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
Cleveland Browns #10 Q. JudkinsRB RB1
14.8 car3.5 tgt62% of carries56% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs PIT 17 car, 53 rush yds6 rec, 43 rec yds Wk 5 vs NYJ 14 car, 44 rush yds3 rec, 6 rec yds Wk 7 vs TEN 17 car, 96 rush yds1 rec, 8 rec yds Wk 8 vs PIT 11 car, 25 rush yds2 rec, 24 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 10 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 62% of carries over his last 4, 60% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 93 a game, up from 90 in the 13 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 3.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs PIT: 25 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 catches for 24 yards
  • 3.4 yards a carry, 40th of 47 backs
  • Vs PIT: 38 rushing yards a game over 3, 56 in all his games Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over 3 games, he has gained 15 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Patrick Graham: 42 rushing yards a game over 3, 56 in all his games Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over 3 games, he has gained 15 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
CLE defense allows a game WR 150yds · 16th over usual RB 104yds · 12th over usual
Pittsburgh Steelers #17 G. BernardWR WR2
7.8 tgt20% of targets79% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs IND 9 tgt, 6 rec, 80 rec yds1 car, 4 rush yds Wk 6 vs TB 12 tgt, 11 rec, 87 rec yds Wk 7 vs NO 5 tgt, 3 rec, 27 rec yds Wk 8 vs CLE 5 tgt, 5 rec, 30 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 4 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 20% of targets over his last 4, 18% this season Second week A change in his role that held for a second straight week. The same move as week 6, and it held a second week. How we count
  • 1.2 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs CLE: 30 receiving yards, 5 catches on 5 targets
  • 5.2 yards after the catch per catch, 18th of 92 receivers and tight ends
  • CLE allow 18.9 targets a game to receivers, 13th most
  • Vs CLE: 21 receiving yards a game over 2, 41 in all his games
Pittsburgh Steelers #30 J. WarrenRB RB1
16 car4 tgt74% of carries80% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs IND 15 car, 101 rush yds6 rec, 87 rec yds Wk 6 vs TB 14 car, 50 rush yds2 rec, 28 rec yds Wk 7 vs NO 18 car, 101 rush yds3 rec, 36 rec yds Wk 8 vs CLE 17 car, 143 rush yds1 rec, 0 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 35 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 74% of carries over his last 4, 69% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 97 a game, up from 73 in the 16 games before. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 2.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs CLE: 143 rushing yards on 17 carries, 1 catch for 0 yards, 1 touchdown
  • 5.9 yards a carry, 1st of 47 backs
  • Vs CLE: 74 rushing yards a game over 6, 54 in all his games Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over 6 games, he has gained 14 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Mike Rutenberg: 118 rushing yards a game over 2, 54 in all his games
Pittsburgh Steelers #4 D. MetcalfWR WR1
7.8 tgt23% of targets94% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs IND 4 tgt, 3 rec, 12 rec yds1 car, 11 rush yds Wk 6 vs TB 15 tgt, 11 rec, 93 rec yds Wk 7 vs NO 6 tgt, 2 rec, 56 rec yds Wk 8 vs CLE 6 tgt, 1 rec, 4 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 1 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 23% of targets over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 70 a game, up from 52 in the 16 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs CLE: 4 receiving yards, 1 catch on 6 targets
  • 1.79 yards per route run in 2025, 32nd of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • CLE allow 18.9 targets a game to receivers, 13th most
  • Vs CLE: 71 receiving yards a game over 3, 58 in all his games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over 3 games, he has gained 2 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Mike Rutenberg: 60 receiving yards a game over 2, 58 in all his games

Data and context only, never advice. By using Black Swan Stats you agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy. Not affiliated with the NFL or any team.

Read them