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Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
2026 · Week 8

Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM EST Raymond James Stadium 59% 80°F, wind 12 mph, chance showers and thunderstorms Final 0–16
Depth
Game total
43.5
points, both teams
OffenseAtlanta Falcons Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Team total20.822.8
Plays a game58.863.7
Passes vs usual-6.5-4.9

A division game.

Passes vs usual: points of pass rate above or below what teams usually call on the same down, distance and score.

Game and team totals: consensus of 11 books via The Odds API, as of Sun Nov 1 10:59 AM EST.

Key players

who each offense runs through
Atlanta Falcons Falcons
TB defense allows a game WR 135yds · 30th over usual TE 62yds · 5th over usual RB 65yds · 29th over usual
TB: one of the 8 toughest against running backs this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Backs with a real workload have gained 84% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 33% of games. Against the middle of the league, 42% have.

TB: one of the 8 toughest against receivers this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Receivers with a real workload have gained 90% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 40% of games. Against the middle of the league, 41% have.

TB: one of the 8 softest against tight ends this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Tight ends with a real workload have gained 98% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 48% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Atlanta Falcons #5 D. LondonWR WR1
9.2 tgt31% of targets92% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs BAL 11 tgt, 7 rec, 118 rec yds Wk 6 vs CHI 10 tgt, 4 rec, 62 rec yds Wk 7 vs SF 10 tgt, 7 rec, 66 rec yds Wk 8 vs TB 6 tgt, 1 rec, 8 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 10 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 31% of targets over his last 4, 29% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 75 a game, level with 76 in the 12 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.2 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs TB: 8 receiving yards, 1 catch on 6 targets
  • 2.34 yards per route run in 2025, 9th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • TB allow 18.7 targets a game to receivers, 14th most
  • Vs TB: 63 receiving yards a game over 4, 76 in all his games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over 4 games, he has gained 13 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Todd Bowles: 81 receiving yards a game over 3, 76 in all his games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over 3 games, he has gained 4 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
Atlanta Falcons #8 K. PittsTE TE1
5.8 tgt17% of targets63% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs BAL 6 tgt, 5 rec, 42 rec yds Wk 6 vs CHI 7 tgt, 5 rec, 60 rec yds Wk 7 vs SF 5 tgt, 5 rec, 22 rec yds Wk 8 vs TB 5 tgt, 2 rec, 6 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 9 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 17% of targets over his last 4, 13% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 34 a game, down from 53 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.8 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs TB: 6 receiving yards, 2 catches on 5 targets
  • 1.67 yards per route run in 2025, 9th of 84 receivers and tight ends
  • TB allow 8.1 targets a game to tight ends, 13th most
  • Vs TB: 82 receiving yards a game over 5, 41 in all his games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over 5 games, he has gained 27 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Todd Bowles: 101 receiving yards a game over 4, 41 in all his games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over 4 games, he has gained 41 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
Atlanta Falcons #7 B. RobinsonRB RB1
16.2 car3.8 tgt69% of carries75% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs BAL 17 car, 86 rush yds4 rec, 32 rec yds Wk 6 vs CHI 9 car, 61 rush yds2 rec, -8 rec yds Wk 7 vs SF 20 car, 63 rush yds5 rec, 59 rec yds Wk 8 vs TB 19 car, 76 rush yds0 rec, 0 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 15 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 69% of carries over his last 4, 67% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 95 a game, down from 109 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 2.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs TB: 76 rushing yards on 19 carries
  • 5.2 yards a carry, 4th of 47 backs
  • Vs TB: 63 rushing yards a game over 5, 88 in all his games Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over 5 games, he has gained 14 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Todd Bowles: 60 rushing yards a game over 4, 88 in all his games Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over 4 games, he has gained 22 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Buccaneers
ATL defense allows a game QB 271yds · 4th most RB 82yds · 21st over usual
Tampa Bay Buccaneers #6 B. MayfieldQB QB1
20.5 att116 pass yds96% snaps
last 4 Wk 2 vs CLE 182 pass yds4 car, 29 rush yds Wk 3 vs MIN 217 pass yds2 car, 6 rush yds Wk 7 vs CAR 64 pass yds1 car, 1 rush yds Wk 8 vs ATL 0 pass yds4 car, 14 rush yds
Beyond Usage The passing yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 45 passing yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. His completion rate is about an average passer's on the same throws. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the passing yards it usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 215 a game, down from 228 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • Last game, vs ATL: 14 rushing yards on 4 carries
  • 62% completion rate, 25th of 35 passers
  • Vs ATL: 191 passing yards a game over 5, 226 in all his games Beyond Usage The passing yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over 5 games, he has gained 15 passing yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. His completion rate is 1 percentage point above an average passer's on the same throws. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Jeff Ulbrich: 148 passing yards a game over 3, 226 in all his games Beyond Usage The passing yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over 3 games, he has gained 32 passing yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. His completion rate is 8 percentage points below an average passer's on the same throws. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
Tampa Bay Buccaneers #7 B. IrvingRB RB1
22.8 car2 tgt59% of carries64% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs DAL 21 car, 165 rush yds2 rec, 10 rec yds Wk 6 vs PIT 19 car, 46 rush yds2 rec, 3 rec yds Wk 7 vs CAR 24 car, 106 rush yds1 rec, 4 rec yds Wk 8 vs ATL 27 car, 170 rush yds0 rec, 0 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 4 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 59% of carries over his last 4, 60% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 102 a game, up from 97 in the 10 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 6.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs ATL: 170 rushing yards on 27 carries, 1 touchdown
  • 5.0 yards a carry, 9th of 47 backs
  • Vs ATL: 71 rushing yards a game over 5, 70 in all his games Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over 5 games, he has gained 1 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Jeff Ulbrich: 89 rushing yards a game over 3, 70 in all his games Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over 3 games, he has gained 5 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
Tampa Bay Buccaneers #1 K. GainwellRB RB2 Q
11.2 car1.5 tgt15% of carries31% snaps
last 4 Wk 5 vs DAL 4 car, 18 rush yds3 rec, 10 rec yds Wk 6 vs PIT 2 car, 17 rush yds1 rec, 7 rec yds Wk 7 vs CAR 14 car, 88 rush yds0 rec, 0 rec yds Wk 8 vs ATL 25 car, 140 rush yds0 rec, 0 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 9 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Questionable (Hip)
  • 15% of carries over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 40 a game, down from 57 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 0.5 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs ATL: 140 rushing yards on 25 carries
  • 5.0 yards a carry, 8th of 47 backs
  • Vs ATL: 73 rushing yards a game over 2, 25 in all his games
  • Vs Jeff Ulbrich: 140 rushing yards in his one game, 25 in all his games
Buccaneers news this week

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