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Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
2026 · Week 7

Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints

Sun Oct 25, 2:30 PM CET Stade de France outdoors, no forecast yet neutral site Final 16–10
Depth
Game total
44.5
points, both teams
OffensePittsburgh Steelers New Orleans Saints
Team total23.820.8
Plays a game62.863.9
Passes vs usual+4.9-1.1

Played at Stade de France, a neutral site.

Passes vs usual: points of pass rate above or below what teams usually call on the same down, distance and score.

Game and team totals: consensus of 11 books via The Odds API, as of Sat Oct 24 11:00 AM EDT.

Role · Pittsburgh Steelers Jaylen WarrenRB
+24scrimmage yards a game

Over his last 4 games his workload has been worth 97 scrimmage yards a game, against 73 in his 16 games before.

Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 97 a game, up from 73 in the 16 games before. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count

Key players

who each offense runs through
Pittsburgh Steelers Steelers
NO defense allows a game RB 117yds · 5th over usual QB 256yds · 7th most WR 150yds · 9th over usual
NO: one of the 8 softest against running backs this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Backs with a real workload have gained 105% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 50% of games. Against the middle of the league, 42% have.

Pittsburgh Steelers #30 J. WarrenRB RB1
16 car5 tgt78% of carries87% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs CLE 17 car, 93 rush yds3 rec, 33 rec yds Wk 5 vs IND 15 car, 101 rush yds6 rec, 87 rec yds Wk 6 vs TB 14 car, 50 rush yds2 rec, 28 rec yds Wk 7 vs NO 18 car, 101 rush yds3 rec, 36 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 45 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 78% of carries over his last 4, 69% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 97 a game, up from 73 in the 16 games before. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.7 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs NO: 101 rushing yards on 18 carries, 3 catches for 36 yards
  • 5.5 yards a carry, 2nd of 41 backs
  • Vs NO: 101 rushing yards in his one game, 52 in all his games
  • Steelers keys to victory vs. Saints: Get Jaylen Warren the ballBehind the Steel Curtain
Pittsburgh Steelers #8 A. RodgersQB QB1
37.5 att250 pass yds99% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs CLE 299 pass yds Wk 5 vs IND 235 pass yds1 car, 6 rush yds Wk 6 vs TB 253 pass yds1 car, -1 rush yds Wk 7 vs NO 212 pass yds3 car, 6 rush yds
Beyond Usage The passing yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 8 passing yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. His completion rate is 4 percentage points below an average passer's on the same throws. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the passing yards it usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 262 a game, up from 206 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • Last game, vs NO: 212 passing yards
  • 62% completion rate, 25th of 34 passers
  • Vs NO: 212 passing yards in his one game, 221 in all his games
Pittsburgh Steelers #4 D. MetcalfWR WR1
8.5 tgt22% of targets95% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs CLE 9 tgt, 5 rec, 115 rec yds Wk 5 vs IND 4 tgt, 3 rec, 12 rec yds1 car, 11 rush yds Wk 6 vs TB 15 tgt, 11 rec, 93 rec yds Wk 7 vs NO 6 tgt, 2 rec, 56 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 4 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 22% of targets over his last 4, 23% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 67 a game, up from 52 in the 16 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 0.8 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs NO: 56 receiving yards, 2 catches on 6 targets
  • 1.79 yards per route run in 2025, 32nd of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • NO allow 17.8 targets a game to receivers, 21st most
  • Vs NO: 56 receiving yards in his one game, 59 in all his games
New Orleans Saints Saints
PIT defense allows a game WR 142yds · 22nd over usual RB 86yds · 21st over usual
New Orleans Saints #12 C. OlaveWR WR1
8.8 tgt27% of targets80% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs ATL 12 tgt, 8 rec, 116 rec yds Wk 5 vs MIN 6 tgt, 4 rec, 46 rec yds Wk 6 vs NYG 7 tgt, 4 rec, 43 rec yds Wk 7 vs PIT 10 tgt, 6 rec, 56 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained about what his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 27% of targets over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 78 a game, down from 82 in the 16 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs PIT: 56 receiving yards, 6 catches on 10 targets
  • 2.00 yards per route run in 2025, 20th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • PIT allow 20.3 targets a game to receivers, 9th most
  • Vs PIT: 56 receiving yards in his one game, 71 in all his games
New Orleans Saints #14 D. VeleWR WR2
6.5 tgt20% of targets91% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs ATL 9 tgt, 6 rec, 54 rec yds Wk 5 vs MIN 6 tgt, 4 rec, 26 rec yds Wk 6 vs NYG 6 tgt, 3 rec, 42 rec yds Wk 7 vs PIT 5 tgt, 5 rec, 54 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 15 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 20% of targets over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 55 a game, up from 38 in the 8 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs PIT: 54 receiving yards, 5 catches on 5 targets, 1 touchdown
  • 1.19 yards per route run in 2025, 86th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • PIT allow 20.3 targets a game to receivers, 9th most
  • Vs PIT: 54 receiving yards in his one game, 37 in all his games
  • Vs Patrick Graham: 67 receiving yards a game over 2, 37 in all his games
New Orleans Saints #3 T. EtienneRB RB4
10 car4.3 tgt39% of carries52% snaps
last 3 Wk 1 vs DET 9 car, 46 rush yds7 rec, 32 rec yds Wk 2 vs BAL 8 car, 25 rush yds2 rec, 6 rec yds Wk 3 vs LV 13 car, 57 rush yds2 rec, 13 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 6 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 39% of carries over his last 4, 38% this season
  • 2.4 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs LV: 57 rushing yards on 13 carries, 2 catches for 13 yards
  • 4.3 yards a carry in 2025, 37th of 74 backs
  • Vs Patrick Graham: 53 rushing yards a game over 2, 52 in all his games

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