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Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
2026 · Week 7

New England Patriots New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Chicago Bears

Thu Oct 22, 7:15 PM CDT Soldier Field 60°F, wind 5 mph, mostly clear Final 24–30
Depth
Game total
50.5
points, both teams
OffenseNew England Patriots Chicago Bears
Team total23.826.8
Plays a game56.864.7
Passes vs usual+0.4-0.6

Thursday night, the only game on. The Bears are on a short week, 4 days' rest. The Patriots are on a short week, 4 days' rest.

Passes vs usual: points of pass rate above or below what teams usually call on the same down, distance and score.

Game and team totals: consensus of 11 books via The Odds API, as of Thu Oct 22 10:59 AM EDT.

Beyond Usage · New England Patriots A.J. BrownWR
−22receiving yards a game

Over his last 4 games, he has gained 22 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces.

Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 22 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count

Key players

who each offense runs through
New England Patriots Patriots
CHI defense allows a game WR 160yds · 12th over usual
New England Patriots #1 A. BrownWR WR1
6.7 tgt25% of targets78% snaps
last 3 Wk 1 vs SEA 4 tgt, 3 rec, 26 rec yds Wk 6 vs NYJ 10 tgt, 3 rec, 27 rec yds Wk 7 vs CHI 6 tgt, 3 rec, 48 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 22 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 25% of targets over his last 4, 23% this season
  • 1.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs CHI: 48 receiving yards, 3 catches on 6 targets
  • 2.00 yards per route run in 2025, 21st of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • CHI allow 16.3 targets a game to receivers, 27th most
  • Vs CHI: 90 receiving yards a game over 2, 66 in all his games
New England Patriots #3 D. DouglasWR WR2
5 tgt17% of targets53% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs BUF 3 tgt, 2 rec, 15 rec yds Wk 5 vs LV 5 tgt, 4 rec, 65 rec yds Wk 6 vs NYJ 8 tgt, 7 rec, 86 rec yds Wk 7 vs CHI 4 tgt, 3 rec, 23 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 7 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 17% of targets over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 44 a game, up from 32 in the 5 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 0.8 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs CHI: 23 receiving yards, 3 catches on 4 targets
  • 1.82 yards per route run in 2025, 31st of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • CHI allow 16.3 targets a game to receivers, 27th most
  • Vs CHI: 37 receiving yards a game over 2, 33 in all his games
  • Vs Dennis Allen: 23 receiving yards in his one game, 33 in all his games
New England Patriots #13 M. HollinsWR WR5
5 tgt17% of targets64% snaps
last 4 Wk 1 vs SEA 5 tgt, 4 rec, 51 rec yds Wk 2 vs PIT 2 tgt, 2 rec, 18 rec yds Wk 3 vs JAX 9 tgt, 6 rec, 87 rec yds Wk 4 vs BUF 4 tgt, 3 rec, 53 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 9 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 17% of targets over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 43 a game, up from 41 in the 16 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs BUF: 53 receiving yards, 3 catches on 4 targets
  • 1.70 yards per route run in 2025, 39th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • CHI allow 16.3 targets a game to receivers, 27th most
Chicago Bears Bears
NE defense allows a game TE 47yds · 29th over usual RB 82yds · 26th over usual WR 142yds · 21st over usual
NE: one of the 8 toughest against running backs this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Backs with a real workload have gained 83% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 32% of games. Against the middle of the league, 42% have.

NE: one of the 8 toughest against tight ends this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Tight ends with a real workload have gained 85% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 34% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Chicago Bears #84 C. LovelandTE TE1
8.2 tgt19% of targets85% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs NYJ 9 tgt, 6 rec, 57 rec yds Wk 5 vs GB 5 tgt, 2 rec, 19 rec yds Wk 6 vs ATL 7 tgt, 6 rec, 65 rec yds Wk 7 vs NE 12 tgt, 7 rec, 69 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained about what his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 19% of targets over his last 4, 15% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 44 a game, down from 49 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.8 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs NE: 69 receiving yards, 7 catches on 12 targets, 1 touchdown
  • 1.88 yards per route run in 2025, 5th of 84 receivers and tight ends
  • NE allow 6.8 targets a game to tight ends, 19th most
  • Vs NE: 69 receiving yards in his one game, 46 in all his games
Chicago Bears #4 D. SwiftRB RB1
15.5 car4 tgt44% of carries55% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs NYJ 15 car, 58 rush yds2 rec, 16 rec yds Wk 5 vs GB 9 car, 43 rush yds4 rec, 30 rec yds Wk 6 vs ATL 16 car, 44 rush yds4 rec, 26 rec yds Wk 7 vs NE 22 car, 78 rush yds4 rec, 12 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 8 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 44% of carries over his last 4, 46% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 84 a game, up from 78 in the 18 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 3.7 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs NE: 78 rushing yards on 22 carries, 4 catches for 12 yards, 1 touchdown
  • 4.1 yards a carry, 20th of 41 backs
  • Vs NE: 69 rushing yards a game over 2, 63 in all his games
  • Vs Zak Kuhr: 78 rushing yards in his one game, 63 in all his games
Chicago Bears #15 R. OdunzeWR WR1
6.2 tgt19% of targets92% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs NYJ 7 tgt, 6 rec, 94 rec yds Wk 5 vs GB 9 tgt, 3 rec, 40 rec yds Wk 6 vs ATL 4 tgt, 3 rec, 39 rec yds Wk 7 vs NE 5 tgt, 4 rec, 69 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 1 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 19% of targets over his last 4, 17% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 53 a game, down from 65 in the 14 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count Second week A change in his role that held for a second straight week. The same move as week 6, and it held a second week. How we count
  • 0.8 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs NE: 69 receiving yards, 4 catches on 5 targets
  • 1.54 yards per route run in 2025, 52nd of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • NE allow 18.0 targets a game to receivers, 20th most
  • Vs NE: 46 receiving yards a game over 2, 49 in all his games
  • Vs Zak Kuhr: 69 receiving yards in his one game, 49 in all his games

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