2026
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Outlined = current league week
Sign in Sign up
Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
2026 · Week 7

Denver Broncos Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals

Sun Oct 25, 1:05 PM MST State Farm Stadium Roof closed Final 30–16
Game total
43.5
points, both teams
OffenseDenver Broncos Arizona Cardinals
Team total2419.5
Plays a game57.866.9
Passes vs usual-2.5-0.4
Days' rest107

Passes vs usual: points of pass rate above or below what teams usually call on the same down, distance and score.

Game and team totals: consensus of 11 books via The Odds API, as of Sun Oct 25 11:00 AM EDT.

Beyond Usage · Denver Broncos J.K. DobbinsRB
−26scrimmage yards a game

Over his last 4 games, he has gained 26 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces.

Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 26 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count

Key players

who each offense runs through
ARI defense allows a game RB 107yds · 7th over usual WR 153yds · 16th over usual
ARI: one of the 8 softest against running backs this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Backs with a real workload have gained 105% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 50% of games. Against the middle of the league, 42% have.

Denver Broncos #27 J. DobbinsRB RB1
13 car1.8 tgt61% of carries46% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs SF 11 car, 40 rush yds2 rec, 12 rec yds Wk 5 vs LAC 18 car, 68 rush yds2 rec, 6 rec yds Wk 6 vs SEA 17 car, 41 rush yds3 rec, 5 rec yds Wk 7 vs ARI 6 car, 23 rush yds0 rec, 0 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 26 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 61% of carries over his last 4, 57% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 82 a game, up from 77 in the 10 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.8 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs ARI: 23 rushing yards on 6 carries, 1 touchdown
  • 3.4 yards a carry, 34th of 41 backs
  • Vs ARI: 32 rushing yards a game over 2, 64 in all his games
Denver Broncos #17 J. WaddleWR WR1
6.2 tgt23% of targets68% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs SF 6 tgt, 5 rec, 35 rec yds Wk 5 vs LAC 5 tgt, 2 rec, 19 rec yds1 car, 9 rush yds Wk 6 vs SEA 7 tgt, 4 rec, 24 rec yds Wk 7 vs ARI 7 tgt, 4 rec, 48 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 24 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 23% of targets over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 46 a game, down from 57 in the 15 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 0.8 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs ARI: 48 receiving yards, 4 catches on 7 targets
  • 2.26 yards per route run in 2025, 12th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • ARI allow 15.5 targets a game to receivers, 29th most
  • Vs ARI: 47 receiving yards a game over 2, 51 in all his games
Denver Broncos #12 R. HarveyRB RB2
4.8 car4.2 tgt18% of carries39% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs SF 7 car, 25 rush yds10 rec, 68 rec yds Wk 5 vs LAC 3 car, 7 rush yds0 rec, 0 rec yds Wk 6 vs SEA 6 car, 25 rush yds3 rec, 31 rec yds Wk 7 vs ARI 3 car, 6 rush yds2 rec, 54 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 6 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 18% of carries over his last 4, 19% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 45 a game, down from 75 in the 12 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 0.7 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs ARI: 6 rushing yards on 3 carries, 2 catches for 54 yards, 1 touchdown
  • 3.6 yards a carry in 2025, 65th of 74 backs
  • Vs ARI: 6 rushing yards in his one game, 27 in all his games
DEN defense allows a game TE 55yds · 19th over usual WR 142yds · 24th over usual
Arizona Cardinals #85 T. McBrideTE TE1
11 tgt26% of targets94% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs NYG 12 tgt, 7 rec, 31 rec yds Wk 5 vs DET 10 tgt, 9 rec, 66 rec yds Wk 6 vs LA 9 tgt, 7 rec, 53 rec yds Wk 7 vs DEN 13 tgt, 10 rec, 111 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 18 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 26% of targets over his last 4, 30% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 74 a game, up from 72 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 2.2 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs DEN: 111 receiving yards, 10 catches on 13 targets, 1 touchdown
  • 1.76 yards per route run in 2025, 8th of 84 receivers and tight ends
  • DEN allow 7.3 targets a game to tight ends, 17th most
  • Vs DEN: 111 receiving yards in his one game, 71 in all his games
Arizona Cardinals #14 M. WilsonWR WR1
8.8 tgt27% of targets91% snaps
last 4 Wk 4 vs NYG 13 tgt, 7 rec, 95 rec yds Wk 5 vs DET 7 tgt, 4 rec, 30 rec yds Wk 6 vs LA 7 tgt, 4 rec, 32 rec yds Wk 7 vs DEN 8 tgt, 4 rec, 55 rec yds2 car, 11 rush yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 26 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 27% of targets over his last 4, 25% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 87 a game, up from 62 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 2.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs DEN: 55 receiving yards, 4 catches on 8 targets
  • 1.60 yards per route run in 2025, 49th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • DEN allow 19.2 targets a game to receivers, 12th most
  • Vs DEN: 55 receiving yards in his one game, 48 in all his games
Arizona Cardinals #17 K. BourneWR WR2
6.2 tgt15% of targets55% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs SF 3 tgt, 2 rec, 22 rec yds Wk 5 vs DET 8 tgt, 5 rec, 70 rec yds Wk 6 vs LA 8 tgt, 5 rec, 47 rec yds Wk 7 vs DEN 6 tgt, 3 rec, 9 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 1 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 15% of targets over his last 4, 16% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 37 a game, up from 32 in the 14 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.5 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs DEN: 9 receiving yards, 3 catches on 6 targets
  • 1.42 yards per route run in 2025, 65th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • DEN allow 19.2 targets a game to receivers, 12th most
  • Vs DEN: 9 receiving yards in his one game, 33 in all his games

Data and context only, never advice. By using Black Swan Stats you agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy. Not affiliated with the NFL or any team.

Read them