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Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
2026 · Week 6

Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts Indianapolis Colts

Sun Oct 18, 1:00 PM EDT Lucas Oil Stadium Roof open Final 26–20
Game total
43.5
points, both teams
OffenseTennessee Titans Indianapolis Colts
Team total18.525
Plays a game57.662.9
Passes vs usual-5.3-2.1

A division game.

Passes vs usual: points of pass rate above or below what teams usually call on the same down, distance and score.

Game and team totals: consensus of 11 books via The Odds API, as of Sun Oct 18 11:00 AM EDT.

Key players

who each offense runs through
IND defense allows a game QB 268yds · 4th most WR 160yds · 12th over usual
Tennessee Titans #1 C. WardQB QB1
31.2 att169 pass yds100% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs NYG 181 pass yds1 car, 2 rush yds Wk 4 vs BAL 222 pass yds4 car, 27 rush yds Wk 5 vs HOU 170 pass yds1 car, 2 rush yds Wk 6 vs IND 102 pass yds3 car, 7 rush yds
Beyond Usage The passing yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 20 passing yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. His completion rate is 2 percentage points above an average passer's on the same throws. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the passing yards it usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 209 a game, down from 227 in the 16 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • Last game, vs IND: 102 passing yards
  • 62% completion rate, 22nd of 33 passers
  • Vs IND: 193 passing yards a game over 3, 181 in all his games Beyond Usage The passing yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over 3 games, he has gained 29 passing yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. His completion rate is 8 percentage points below an average passer's on the same throws. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
Tennessee Titans #14 C. TateWR WR1
8.2 tgt28% of targets81% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs NYG 9 tgt, 6 rec, 58 rec yds Wk 4 vs BAL 12 tgt, 9 rec, 145 rec yds Wk 5 vs HOU 5 tgt, 1 rec, 6 rec yds Wk 6 vs IND 7 tgt, 6 rec, 70 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 9 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 28% of targets over his last 4, 26% this season
  • 0.5 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs IND: 70 receiving yards, 6 catches on 7 targets, 1 touchdown
  • 2.7 yards after the catch per catch, 64th of 74 receivers and tight ends
  • IND allow 17.2 targets a game to receivers, 21st most
  • Vs IND: 70 receiving yards in his one game, 57 in all his games
Tennessee Titans #4 W. RobinsonWR WR2
7.5 tgt19% of targets64% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs NYG 11 tgt, 7 rec, 57 rec yds Wk 4 vs BAL 5 tgt, 3 rec, 19 rec yds1 car, 1 rush yds Wk 5 vs HOU 7 tgt, 6 rec, 53 rec yds Wk 6 vs IND 7 tgt, 3 rec, 22 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 8 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 19% of targets over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 42 a game, down from 67 in the 16 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.2 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs IND: 22 receiving yards, 3 catches on 7 targets
  • 1.87 yards per route run in 2025, 29th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • IND allow 17.2 targets a game to receivers, 21st most
  • Vs IND: 47 receiving yards a game over 2, 49 in all his games
  • Vs Lou Anarumo: 36 receiving yards a game over 2, 49 in all his games
TEN defense allows a game WR 174yds · 6th over usual RB 94yds · 9th over usual
TEN: one of the 8 softest against receivers this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Receivers with a real workload have gained 97% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 43% of games. Against the middle of the league, 41% have.

Indianapolis Colts #10 K. AllenWR WR2
8.5 tgt21% of targets59% snaps
last 4 Wk 2 vs KC 5 tgt, 1 rec, 5 rec yds Wk 3 vs HOU 9 tgt, 6 rec, 63 rec yds Wk 5 vs PIT 9 tgt, 5 rec, 45 rec yds Wk 6 vs TEN 11 tgt, 8 rec, 82 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 15 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 21% of targets over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 52 a game, down from 55 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 0.8 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs TEN: 82 receiving yards, 8 catches on 11 targets
  • 1.62 yards per route run in 2025, 45th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • TEN allow 17.2 targets a game to receivers, 23rd most
  • Vs TEN: 51 receiving yards a game over 3, 47 in all his games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over 3 games, he has gained 22 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Gus Bradley: 82 receiving yards in his one game, 47 in all his games
Indianapolis Colts #28 J. TaylorRB RB1
19.8 car3.8 tgt71% of carries81% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs HOU 23 car, 68 rush yds2 rec, 4 rec yds Wk 4 vs WAS 20 car, 95 rush yds1 rec, 2 rec yds Wk 5 vs PIT 15 car, 45 rush yds3 rec, 37 rec yds Wk 6 vs TEN 21 car, 94 rush yds2 rec, 57 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 14 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 71% of carries over his last 4, 76% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 110 a game, up from 103 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 4.3 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs TEN: 94 rushing yards on 21 carries, 2 catches for 57 yards, 1 touchdown
  • 4.0 yards a carry, 18th of 39 backs
  • Vs TEN: 142 rushing yards a game over 4, 95 in all his games Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over 4 games, he has gained 64 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Gus Bradley: 94 rushing yards in his one game, 95 in all his games
Indianapolis Colts #2 J. DownsWR WR1
7.2 tgt22% of targets78% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs HOU 11 tgt, 5 rec, 77 rec yds Wk 4 vs WAS 4 tgt, 3 rec, 16 rec yds Wk 5 vs PIT 6 tgt, 3 rec, 47 rec yds Wk 6 vs TEN 8 tgt, 4 rec, 40 rec yds1 car, 7 rush yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 8 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 22% of targets over his last 4, 21% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 61 a game, up from 40 in the 16 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs TEN: 40 receiving yards, 4 catches on 8 targets
  • 1.49 yards per route run in 2025, 57th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • TEN allow 17.2 targets a game to receivers, 23rd most
  • Vs TEN: 48 receiving yards a game over 5, 46 in all his games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over 5 games, he has gained 10 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Gus Bradley: 40 receiving yards in his one game, 46 in all his games

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