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Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
2026 · Week 6

Houston Texans Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars

Sun Oct 18, 2:30 PM BST Wembley Stadium outdoors, no forecast yet neutral site Final 34–31
Depth
Game total
42.5
points, both teams
OffenseHouston Texans Jacksonville Jaguars
Team total2022.5
Plays a game60.660.0
Passes vs usual+0.2-3.2

A division game. Played at Wembley Stadium, a neutral site.

Passes vs usual: points of pass rate above or below what teams usually call on the same down, distance and score.

Game and team totals: consensus of 11 books via The Odds API, as of Sat Oct 17 11:00 AM EDT.

Key players

who each offense runs through
Houston Texans Texans
JAX defense allows a game WR 204yds · 1st over usual QB 274yds · 3rd most
JAX: one of the 8 softest against receivers this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Receivers with a real workload have gained 97% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 43% of games. Against the middle of the league, 41% have.

Houston Texans #19 X. HutchinsonWR WR4
4.8 tgt19% of targets52% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs IND 6 tgt, 3 rec, 51 rec yds2 car, 4 rush yds Wk 4 vs DAL 5 tgt, 3 rec, 46 rec yds Wk 5 vs TEN 5 tgt, 4 rec, 65 rec yds Wk 6 vs JAX 3 tgt, 2 rec, 10 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 4 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 19% of targets over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 54 a game, up from 32 in the 18 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • Last game, vs JAX: 10 receiving yards, 2 catches on 3 targets
  • 1.03 yards per route run in 2025, 104th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • With Tank Dell out: 11% of the targets in the 4 games he missed since 2024, 5% with him
  • JAX allow 21.4 targets a game to receivers, 6th most
  • Vs JAX: 13 receiving yards a game over 2, 23 in all his games
Houston Texans #7 C. StroudQB QB1
31.5 att272 pass yds100% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs IND 167 pass yds2 car, 10 rush yds Wk 4 vs DAL 347 pass yds2 car, 12 rush yds Wk 5 vs TEN 261 pass yds6 car, 5 rush yds Wk 6 vs JAX 312 pass yds1 car, 5 rush yds
Beyond Usage The passing yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 18 passing yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. His completion rate is 1 percentage point above an average passer's on the same throws. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the passing yards it usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 264 a game, up from 220 in the 16 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • Last game, vs JAX: 312 passing yards
  • 65% completion rate, 14th of 33 passers
  • Vs JAX: 276 passing yards a game over 4, 231 in all his games Beyond Usage The passing yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over 4 games, he has gained 20 passing yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. His completion rate is 3 percentage points above an average passer's on the same throws. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Anthony Campanile: 258 passing yards a game over 2, 231 in all his games
Houston Texans #12 N. CollinsWR WR1
7.5 tgt25% of targets67% snaps
last 4 Wk 1 vs BUF 10 tgt, 7 rec, 75 rec yds1 car, 7 rush yds Wk 4 vs DAL 8 tgt, 7 rec, 118 rec yds Wk 5 vs TEN 7 tgt, 5 rec, 56 rec yds Wk 6 vs JAX 5 tgt, 3 rec, 74 rec yds1 car, 5 rush yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 2 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 25% of targets over his last 4, 26% this season
  • 1.4 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs JAX: 74 receiving yards, 3 catches on 5 targets
  • 2.25 yards per route run in 2025, 11th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • JAX allow 21.4 targets a game to receivers, 6th most
  • Vs JAX: 117 receiving yards a game over 5, 79 in all his games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over 5 games, he has gained 24 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Anthony Campanile: 105 receiving yards a game over 3, 79 in all his games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over 3 games, he has gained 17 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
Jacksonville Jaguars Jaguars
HOU defense allows a game QB 256yds · 7th most WR 193yds · 3rd over usual
HOU: one of the 8 softest against receivers this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Receivers with a real workload have gained 97% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 43% of games. Against the middle of the league, 41% have.

Jacksonville Jaguars #16 T. LawrenceQB QB1
33 att262 pass yds99% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs NE 182 pass yds4 car, 25 rush yds Wk 4 vs CIN 227 pass yds3 car, 0 rush yds Wk 5 vs PHI 331 pass yds3 car, 25 rush yds Wk 6 vs HOU 306 pass yds3 car, 11 rush yds
Beyond Usage The passing yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 18 passing yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. His completion rate is 3 percentage points above an average passer's on the same throws. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the passing yards it usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 214 a game, down from 247 in the 18 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • Last game, vs HOU: 306 passing yards, 11 rushing
  • 65% completion rate, 15th of 33 passers
  • Vs HOU: 179 passing yards a game over 5, 228 in all his games Beyond Usage The passing yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over 5 games, he has gained 39 passing yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. His completion rate is 11 percentage points below an average passer's on the same throws. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
Jacksonville Jaguars #11 P. WashingtonWR WR1
7 tgt24% of targets81% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs NE 5 tgt, 3 rec, 40 rec yds Wk 4 vs CIN 3 tgt, 1 rec, 7 rec yds1 car, 3 rush yds Wk 5 vs PHI 9 tgt, 6 rec, 124 rec yds Wk 6 vs HOU 11 tgt, 4 rec, 64 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 9 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 24% of targets over his last 4, 25% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 59 a game, down from 61 in the 14 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 2.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs HOU: 64 receiving yards, 4 catches on 11 targets
  • 2.21 yards per route run in 2025, 15th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • HOU allow 22.4 targets a game to receivers, 3rd most
  • Vs HOU: 59 receiving yards a game over 4, 48 in all his games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over 4 games, he has gained 27 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
Jacksonville Jaguars #3 J. MeyersWR WR2
6.2 tgt14% of targets84% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs NE 8 tgt, 7 rec, 64 rec yds Wk 4 vs CIN 4 tgt, 3 rec, 33 rec yds Wk 5 vs PHI 3 tgt, 2 rec, 37 rec yds Wk 6 vs HOU 10 tgt, 5 rec, 83 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 11 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 14% of targets over his last 4, 13% this season Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 30 a game, down from 52 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.5 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs HOU: 83 receiving yards, 5 catches on 10 targets
  • 1.52 yards per route run in 2025, 54th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • HOU allow 22.4 targets a game to receivers, 3rd most
  • Vs HOU: 62 receiving yards a game over 2, 57 in all his games
Jaguars news this week

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