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Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
2026 · Week 5

Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Rams

Mon Oct 12, 5:15 PM PDT SoFi Stadium Indoors Final 37–34
Depth
Game total
54.5
points, both teams
OffenseBuffalo Bills Los Angeles Rams
Team total25.529
Plays a game59.267.4
Passes vs usual-0.4+1

Monday night, the only game on.

Passes vs usual: points of pass rate above or below what teams usually call on the same down, distance and score.

Game and team totals: consensus of 11 books via The Odds API, as of Sun Oct 11 11:00 AM EDT.

Key players

who each offense runs through
Buffalo Bills Bills
LAR defense allows a game RB 82yds · 16th over usual WR 106yds · 27th over usual
Buffalo Bills #4 J. CookRB RB1
20.8 car1.8 tgt66% of carries68% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs LAC 24 car, 154 rush yds0 rec, 0 rec yds Wk 4 vs NE 12 car, 75 rush yds2 rec, 8 rec yds Wk 5 vs LA 25 car, 111 rush yds1 rec, 7 rec yds Wk 6 vs LV 22 car, 95 rush yds3 rec, 58 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 19 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 66% of carries over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 93 a game, down from 102 in the 18 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 4.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs LV: 95 rushing yards on 22 carries, 3 catches for 58 yards, 1 touchdown
  • 5.4 yards a carry, 5th of 39 backs
  • Vs LA: 66 rushing yards a game over 2, 84 in all his games
Buffalo Bills #26 T. JohnsonRB RB2
0.5 car3 tgt14% of carries32% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs LAC 0 car, 0 rush yds4 rec, 50 rec yds Wk 4 vs NE 1 car, 3 rush yds2 rec, 9 rec yds Wk 5 vs LA 0 car, 0 rush yds4 rec, 72 rec yds Wk 6 vs LV 1 car, 3 rush yds2 rec, 24 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 7 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 14% of carries over his last 4, 2% this season
  • Last game, vs LV: 24 receiving yards, 2 catches on 2 targets
  • 4.0 yards a carry in 2025, 50th of 74 backs
  • With Josh Palmer out: 10% of the targets in the 6 games he missed since 2025, 6% with him
  • Vs LA: 0 rushing yards a game over 2, 13 in all his games
Buffalo Bills #2 D. MooreWR WR1 Q
5 tgt18% of targets52% snaps
last 4 Wk 1 vs HOU 8 tgt, 5 rec, 100 rec yds Wk 2 vs DET 0 tgt, 0 rec, 0 rec yds1 car, -1 rush yds Wk 3 vs LAC 10 tgt, 6 rec, 67 rec yds Wk 4 vs NE 2 tgt, 1 rec, 11 rec yds1 car, 6 rush yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained about what his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Questionable (Shoulder)
  • 18% of targets over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 44 a game, up from 43 in the 19 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 0.8 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs NE: 11 receiving yards, 1 catch on 2 targets
  • 1.25 yards per route run in 2025, 81st of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • LA allow 16.3 targets a game to receivers, 23rd most
  • Vs LA: 37 receiving yards a game over 2, 49 in all his games
  • Vs Chris Shula: 22 receiving yards in his one game, 49 in all his games
Bills news this week
Los Angeles Rams Rams
BUF defense allows a game WR 186yds · 6th over usual RB 91yds · 10th over usual
BUF: one of the 8 softest against receivers this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Receivers with a real workload have gained 97% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 43% of games. Against the middle of the league, 41% have.

Los Angeles Rams #12 P. NacuaWR WR1
13 tgt31% of targets82% snaps
last 4 Wk 1 vs SF 9 tgt, 5 rec, 74 rec yds Wk 4 vs PHI 12 tgt, 9 rec, 125 rec yds1 car, 2 rush yds Wk 5 vs BUF 24 tgt, 17 rec, 138 rec yds2 car, 9 rush yds Wk 6 vs ARI 7 tgt, 6 rec, 80 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 9 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 31% of targets over his last 4, 29% this season
  • 1.5 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs ARI: 80 receiving yards, 6 catches on 7 targets
  • 3.54 yards per route run in 2025, 1st of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • With Terrance Ferguson on ir: 35% of the targets in the 8 games he missed since 2025, 29% with him
  • BUF allow 21.0 targets a game to receivers, 5th most
  • Vs BUF: 150 receiving yards a game over 2, 100 in all his games
  • Vs Jim Leonhard: 138 receiving yards in his one game, 100 in all his games
Los Angeles Rams #17 D. AdamsWR WR2
8.2 tgt25% of targets74% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs DEN 13 tgt, 7 rec, 137 rec yds Wk 4 vs PHI 9 tgt, 4 rec, 32 rec yds Wk 5 vs BUF 7 tgt, 5 rec, 51 rec yds Wk 6 vs ARI 4 tgt, 3 rec, 39 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 10 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 25% of targets over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the receiving yards it usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 88 a game, up from 69 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • 1.5 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs ARI: 39 receiving yards, 3 catches on 4 targets
  • 1.91 yards per route run in 2025, 24th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • With Terrance Ferguson on ir: 27% of the targets in the 7 games he missed since 2025, 24% with him
  • BUF allow 21.0 targets a game to receivers, 5th most
  • Vs BUF: 49 receiving yards a game over 2, 68 in all his games
  • Vs Jim Leonhard: 51 receiving yards in his one game, 68 in all his games
Los Angeles Rams #23 K. WilliamsRB RB1
14.2 car8.5 tgt55% of carries68% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs DEN 15 car, 88 rush yds6 rec, 70 rec yds Wk 4 vs PHI 16 car, 80 rush yds10 rec, 67 rec yds Wk 5 vs BUF 16 car, 49 rush yds6 rec, 27 rec yds Wk 6 vs ARI 10 car, 50 rush yds3 rec, 17 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 18 scrimmage yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 55% of carries over his last 4 Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the scrimmage yards it usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 99 a game, up from 86 in the 20 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count Second week A change in his role that held for a second straight week. The same move as week 4, and it held a second week. How we count
  • 3.8 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs ARI: 50 rushing yards on 10 carries, 3 catches for 17 yards
  • 4.9 yards a carry, 7th of 39 backs
  • Vs BUF: 68 rushing yards a game over 2, 75 in all his games
  • Vs Jim Leonhard: 49 rushing yards in his one game, 75 in all his games
Rams news this week

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