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Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
2026 · Week 3

Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sun Sep 27, 4:05 PM EDT Raymond James Stadium 84°F, wind 5 mph, mostly sunny Final 23–16
Game total
42.5
points, both teams
OffenseMinnesota Vikings Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Team total21.820.8
Plays a game56.961.2
Passes vs usual-7.4+0.7

Passes vs usual: points of pass rate above or below what teams usually call on the same down, distance and score.

Game and team totals: consensus of 11 books via The Odds API, as of Sun Sep 27 8:00 AM EDT.

Beyond Usage · Tampa Bay Buccaneers Chris Godwin Jr.WR
+24receiving yards a game

Over his last 4 games, he has gained 24 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces.

Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 24 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count

Key players

who each offense runs through
TB defense allows a game QB 255yds · 6th most RB 79yds · 29th over usual WR 148yds · 9th over usual
TB: one of the 8 toughest against running backs this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Backs with a real workload have gained 83% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 32% of games. Against the middle of the league, 42% have.

Minnesota Vikings #1 K. MurrayQB QB1
25.2 att166 pass yds78% snaps
last 4 Wk 1 vs GB 18 pass yds2 car, 9 rush yds Wk 3 vs TB 168 pass yds2 car, 17 rush yds Wk 4 vs MIA 247 pass yds6 car, 16 rush yds Wk 5 vs NO 229 pass yds10 car, 51 rush yds
Beyond Usage The passing yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 38 passing yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. His completion rate is about an average passer's on the same throws. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Role Whether his workload is growing or shrinking, counted in the passing yards it usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over his last 4 games it has been worth 223 a game, up from 217 in the 17 games before. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about half of a change in role has shown up in the next game. How we count
  • Last game, vs NO: 229 passing yards, 51 rushing
  • 68% completion rate, 6th of 33 passers
  • Vs TB: 168 passing yards in his one game, 211 in all his games
  • Kyler Murray Clears Concussion Protocol, Will Start Against Tampa BayDaily Norseman
Minnesota Vikings #33 A. JonesRB RB1
21.2 car4.2 tgt65% of carries64% snaps
last 4 Wk 2 vs CHI 23 car, 105 rush yds0 rec, 0 rec yds Wk 3 vs TB 17 car, 58 rush yds5 rec, 34 rec yds Wk 4 vs MIA 20 car, 94 rush yds4 rec, 34 rec yds Wk 5 vs NO 25 car, 113 rush yds3 rec, 4 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 20 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 65% of carries over his last 4, 60% this season
  • 2.3 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs NO: 113 rushing yards on 25 carries, 3 catches for 4 yards, 1 touchdown
  • 4.2 yards a carry, 14th of 39 backs
  • Vs TB: 58 rushing yards in his one game, 61 in all his games
Minnesota Vikings #18 J. JeffersonWR WR1
6 tgt36% of targets92% snaps
last 4 Wk 1 vs GB 9 tgt, 8 rec, 92 rec yds Wk 2 vs CHI 6 tgt, 3 rec, 55 rec yds Wk 3 vs TB 2 tgt, 2 rec, 32 rec yds Wk 5 vs NO 7 tgt, 6 rec, 79 rec yds1 car, -11 rush yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 10 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 36% of targets over his last 4, 37% this season
  • 1.2 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs NO: 79 receiving yards, 6 catches on 7 targets, 1 touchdown
  • 1.90 yards per route run in 2025, 27th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • TB allow 18.9 targets a game to receivers, 8th most
  • Vs TB: 32 receiving yards in his one game, 74 in all his games
MIN defense allows a game RB 105yds · 12th over usual WR 116yds · 32nd over usual
MIN: one of the 8 toughest against running backs this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Backs with a real workload have gained 83% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 32% of games. Against the middle of the league, 42% have.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers #7 B. IrvingRB RB1
17.8 car2.5 tgt57% of carries64% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs MIN 15 car, 46 rush yds2 rec, 12 rec yds Wk 4 vs GB 16 car, 61 rush yds0 rec, 0 rec yds Wk 5 vs DAL 21 car, 165 rush yds2 rec, 10 rec yds Wk 6 vs PIT 19 car, 46 rush yds2 rec, 3 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 12 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 57% of carries over his last 4, 55% this season Second week A change in his role that held for a second straight week. The same move as week 3, and it held a second week. How we count
  • 3.6 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs PIT: 46 rushing yards on 19 carries, 2 catches for 3 yards
  • 4.7 yards a carry, 11th of 39 backs
  • Vs MIN: 46 rushing yards in his one game, 66 in all his games
Tampa Bay Buccaneers #2 E. EgbukaWR WR1
9.5 tgt16% of targets72% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs MIN 9 tgt, 5 rec, 62 rec yds Wk 4 vs GB 4 tgt, 2 rec, 13 rec yds Wk 5 vs DAL 9 tgt, 6 rec, 38 rec yds1 car, 14 rush yds Wk 6 vs PIT 16 tgt, 7 rec, 48 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 13 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 16% of targets over his last 4, 19% this season
  • 1.2 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs PIT: 48 receiving yards, 7 catches on 16 targets, 1 touchdown
  • 1.75 yards per route run in 2025, 33rd of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • MIN allow 14.4 targets a game to receivers, 31st most
  • Vs MIN: 62 receiving yards in his one game, 51 in all his games
Tampa Bay Buccaneers #14 C. Godwin Jr.WR WR2
5.5 tgt12% of targets80% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs MIN 4 tgt, 3 rec, 25 rec yds Wk 4 vs GB 7 tgt, 6 rec, 31 rec yds Wk 5 vs DAL 3 tgt, 3 rec, 37 rec yds1 car, 3 rush yds Wk 6 vs PIT 8 tgt, 4 rec, 37 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 24 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 12% of targets over his last 4
  • Last game, vs PIT: 37 receiving yards, 4 catches on 8 targets
  • 1.35 yards per route run in 2025, 73rd of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • MIN allow 14.4 targets a game to receivers, 31st most
  • Vs MIN: 25 receiving yards in his one game, 52 in all his games

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