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Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
Games Injuries Depth News What changed Leaders Matchups Teams Notes
2026 · Week 3

Houston Texans Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts Indianapolis Colts

Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM EDT Lucas Oil Stadium 66°F, wind 3 mph, partly sunny Final 17–19
Game total
42.5
points, both teams
OffenseHouston Texans Indianapolis Colts
Team total2220.5
Plays a game64.458.7
Passes vs usual+0.9-6.9

A division game.

Passes vs usual: points of pass rate above or below what teams usually call on the same down, distance and score.

Game and team totals: consensus of 11 books via The Odds API, as of Sun Sep 27 8:00 AM EDT.

Beyond Usage · Indianapolis Colts Keenan AllenWR
−35receiving yards a game

Over his last 4 games, he has gained 35 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces.

Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 35 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count

Key players

who each offense runs through
IND defense allows a game QB 263yds · 2nd most WR 168yds · 3rd over usual RB 87yds · 22nd over usual
IND: one of the 8 softest against receivers this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Receivers with a real workload have gained 97% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 43% of games. Against the middle of the league, 41% have.

Houston Texans #7 C. StroudQB QB1
31.5 att272 pass yds100% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs IND 167 pass yds2 car, 10 rush yds Wk 4 vs DAL 347 pass yds2 car, 12 rush yds Wk 5 vs TEN 261 pass yds6 car, 5 rush yds Wk 6 vs JAX 312 pass yds1 car, 5 rush yds
Beyond Usage The passing yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 23 passing yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. His completion rate is 7 percentage points below an average passer's on the same throws. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Last game, vs JAX: 312 passing yards
  • 65% completion rate, 14th of 33 passers
  • Vs IND: 226 passing yards a game over 5, 231 in all his games Beyond Usage The passing yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over 5 games, he has gained 3 passing yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. His completion rate is 3 percentage points above an average passer's on the same throws. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Lou Anarumo: 204 passing yards a game over 3, 231 in all his games Beyond Usage The passing yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his dropbacks, how far he threw and his throws inside the 20. Over 3 games, he has gained 7 passing yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. His completion rate is 1 percentage point above an average passer's on the same throws. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
Houston Texans #19 X. HutchinsonWR WR2
4.8 tgt19% of targets72% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs IND 6 tgt, 3 rec, 51 rec yds2 car, 4 rush yds Wk 4 vs DAL 5 tgt, 3 rec, 46 rec yds Wk 5 vs TEN 5 tgt, 4 rec, 65 rec yds Wk 6 vs JAX 3 tgt, 2 rec, 10 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 31 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 19% of targets over his last 4, 17% this season
  • Last game, vs JAX: 10 receiving yards, 2 catches on 3 targets
  • 1.03 yards per route run in 2025, 104th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • With Nico Collins out: 15% of the targets in the 9 games he missed since 2024, 9% with him
  • IND allow 21.2 targets a game to receivers, 2nd most
  • Vs IND: 39 receiving yards a game over 5, 23 in all his games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over 5 games, he has gained 1 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • Vs Lou Anarumo: 58 receiving yards a game over 3, 23 in all his games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over 3 games, he has gained about what his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
Houston Texans #4 W. MarksRB RB2
10.2 car2.2 tgt49% of carries59% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs IND 5 car, 15 rush yds1 rec, 6 rec yds Wk 4 vs DAL 6 car, 22 rush yds0 rec, 0 rec yds Wk 5 vs TEN 15 car, 62 rush yds4 rec, 23 rec yds Wk 6 vs JAX 15 car, 56 rush yds2 rec, 25 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 18 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 49% of carries over his last 4, 36% this season
  • 2.4 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs JAX: 56 rushing yards on 15 carries, 2 catches for 25 yards
  • 3.5 yards a carry, 29th of 39 backs
  • Vs IND: 42 rushing yards a game over 3, 43 in all his games Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over 3 games, he has gained 15 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
HOU defense allows a game WR 127yds · 24th over usual RB 74yds · 31st over usual
HOU: one of the 8 toughest against running backs this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Backs with a real workload have gained 83% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 32% of games. Against the middle of the league, 42% have.

HOU: one of the 8 softest against receivers this season, adjusted for who they have played.

Receivers with a real workload have gained 97% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 43% of games. Against the middle of the league, 41% have.

Indianapolis Colts #2 J. DownsWR WR1
7.2 tgt18% of targets75% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs HOU 11 tgt, 5 rec, 77 rec yds Wk 4 vs WAS 4 tgt, 3 rec, 16 rec yds Wk 5 vs PIT 6 tgt, 3 rec, 47 rec yds Wk 6 vs TEN 8 tgt, 4 rec, 40 rec yds1 car, 7 rush yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 9 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 18% of targets over his last 4, 22% this season
  • 1.0 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs TEN: 40 receiving yards, 4 catches on 8 targets
  • 1.49 yards per route run in 2025, 57th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • With Alec Pierce out: 26% of the targets in the 3 games he missed since 2024, 21% with him
  • HOU allow 17.1 targets a game to receivers, 22nd most
  • Vs HOU: 73 receiving yards a game over 4, 46 in all his games Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over 4 games, he has gained 10 receiving yards a game more than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
Indianapolis Colts #10 K. AllenWR WR2
8.5 tgt25% of targets58% snaps
last 4 Wk 2 vs KC 5 tgt, 1 rec, 5 rec yds Wk 3 vs HOU 9 tgt, 6 rec, 63 rec yds Wk 5 vs PIT 9 tgt, 5 rec, 45 rec yds Wk 6 vs TEN 11 tgt, 8 rec, 82 rec yds
Beyond Usage The receiving yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his targets, how far downfield they were and those inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 35 receiving yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's more than his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 25% of targets over his last 4, 19% this season Second week A change in his role that held for a second straight week. The same move as week 3, and it held a second week. How we count
  • 0.8 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs TEN: 82 receiving yards, 8 catches on 11 targets
  • 1.62 yards per route run in 2025, 45th of 154 receivers and tight ends
  • HOU allow 17.1 targets a game to receivers, 22nd most
  • Vs HOU: 40 receiving yards a game over 2, 47 in all his games
Indianapolis Colts #28 J. TaylorRB RB1
19.8 car3.8 tgt80% of carries80% snaps
last 4 Wk 3 vs HOU 23 car, 68 rush yds2 rec, 4 rec yds Wk 4 vs WAS 20 car, 95 rush yds1 rec, 2 rec yds Wk 5 vs PIT 15 car, 45 rush yds3 rec, 37 rec yds Wk 6 vs TEN 21 car, 94 rush yds2 rec, 57 rec yds
Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over his last 4 games, he has gained 12 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count
  • 80% of carries over his last 4, 85% this season
  • 4.3 touches a game inside the 20 over his last 4
  • Last game, vs TEN: 94 rushing yards on 21 carries, 2 catches for 57 yards, 1 touchdown
  • 4.0 yards a carry, 18th of 39 backs
  • Vs HOU: 66 rushing yards a game over 5, 95 in all his games Beyond Usage The scrimmage yards he gains beyond what his workload usually produces. His workload is his carries and targets, how far downfield the targets were and his touches inside the 20. Over 5 games, he has gained 17 scrimmage yards a game fewer than his workload usually produces. That's within his usual week-to-week ups and downs. In past seasons, about a third of a gap has carried into the next game. How we count

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