2026
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Quarterbacks vs the defense

Week 18, 2026 2026 through week 8

Every week, the defenses that have been hardest and easiest on quarterbacks this season, after adjusting for who they have played, and the players who face them this week. What a defense has allowed is history, never a forecast.

The toughest matchups for quarterbacks

Quarterbacks with a real workload have gained 93% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 40% of games. Against the middle of the league, 48% have.

Los Angeles Rams atSeattle Seahawks Seahawks

Holds them to 72 fewer passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Matthew Stafford

35 attempts a game over his last four, 239 pass yds a game.

Rams listed Matthew Stafford with elbow injury because reporters asked about ice on it ProFootballTalk (RSS), 1 d ago

Chicago Bears vsMinnesota Vikings Vikings

Holds them to 54 fewer passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Caleb Williams

32 attempts a game over his last four, 250 pass yds a game.

A Bears win on Sunday could catapult Caleb Williams back into the MVP race Windy City Gridiron, 23 h ago

Denver Broncos atLos Angeles Chargers Chargers

Holds them to 43 fewer passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Bo Nix

29 attempts a game over his last four, 169 pass yds a game.

Broncos and Bo Nix have won 16 straight one-score games ProFootballTalk (RSS), 19 h ago

The other 26 defenses on the field this week are on the full board, with the players who face each one.

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The softest matchups for quarterbacks

Quarterbacks with a real workload have gained 100% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 50% of games. Against the middle of the league, 48% have.

Green Bay Packers atDetroit Lions Lions

Allows 59 more passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Jordan Love

40 attempts a game over his last four, 301 pass yds a game.

Drake Maye vs. Jordan Love: Which is the better quarterback? Acme Packing Company, 2 d ago

Cleveland Browns vsCincinnati Bengals Bengals

Allows 57 more passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Deshaun Watson

34 attempts a game over his last four, 238 pass yds a game.

Browns, Saints inactives: Decision on Deshaun Watson’s gameday status made official Dawgs By Nature, 3 h ago

Houston Texans atTennessee Titans Titans

Allows 42 more passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

C.J. Stroud

32 attempts a game over his last four, 268 pass yds a game.

Bryce Young, C.J. Stroud continue fourth seasons without new contracts ProFootballTalk (RSS), 4 d ago

Yards and targets allowed are from each defense's final games this season. Every rank is over usual: what the defense allowed each game against that offense's own average in its other games, 1st the biggest margin, over each row's games. Shares are of the team's carries or targets over the player's last four games. Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0). The definitions and the record are on How we count.

Data and context only, never advice. By using Black Swan Stats you agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy. Not affiliated with the NFL or any team.

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