2026
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Tight ends vs the defense

Week 17, 2026 2026 through week 8

Every week, the defenses that have been hardest and easiest on tight ends this season, after adjusting for who they have played, and the players who face them this week. What a defense has allowed is history, never a forecast.

The toughest matchups for tight ends

Tight ends with a real workload have gained 85% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 34% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Washington Commanders vsJacksonville Jaguars Jaguars

Holds them to 20 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Chig Okonkwo

18% of targets over his last four, 42 rec yds a game.

Kansas City Chiefs vsLos Angeles Chargers Chargers

Holds them to 19 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Travis Kelce

19% of targets over his last four, 45 rec yds a game.

Chiefs stretch lead to 21-12 on Travis Kelce TD on fourth down ProFootballTalk (RSS), 27 min ago

Houston Texans vsGreen Bay Packers Packers

Holds them to 16 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Dalton Schultz

15% of targets over his last four, 29 rec yds a game.

The other 26 defenses on the field this week are on the full board, with the players who face each one.

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The softest matchups for tight ends

Tight ends with a real workload have gained 98% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 48% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Chicago Bears atDetroit Lions Lions

Allows 39 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Colston Loveland

25% of targets over his last four, 55 rec yds a game.

Los Angeles Chargers atKansas City Chiefs Chiefs

Allows 21 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Charlie Kolar

15% of targets over his last four, 25 rec yds a game.

Oronde Gadsden II

15% of targets over his last four, 26 rec yds a game.

Indianapolis Colts vsCleveland Browns Browns

Allows 9 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Tyler Warren

25% of targets over his last four, 49 rec yds a game.

Will Mallory

15% of targets over his last four, 10 rec yds a game.

Yards and targets allowed are from each defense's final games this season. Every rank is over usual: what the defense allowed each game against that offense's own average in its other games, 1st the biggest margin, over each row's games. Shares are of the team's carries or targets over the player's last four games. Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0). The definitions and the record are on How we count.

Data and context only, never advice. By using Black Swan Stats you agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy. Not affiliated with the NFL or any team.

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