2026
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Tight ends vs the defense

Week 16, 2026 2026 through week 8

Every week, the defenses that have been hardest and easiest on tight ends this season, after adjusting for who they have played, and the players who face them this week. What a defense has allowed is history, never a forecast.

The toughest matchups for tight ends

Tight ends with a real workload have gained 85% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 34% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Seattle Seahawks atLos Angeles Rams Rams

Holds them to 24 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

AJ Barner

15% of targets over his last four, 25 rec yds a game.

Miami Dolphins atLos Angeles Chargers Chargers

Holds them to 19 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Greg Dulcich

21% of targets over his last four, 55 rec yds a game.

Chicago Bears atGreen Bay Packers Packers

Holds them to 16 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Colston Loveland

25% of targets over his last four, 55 rec yds a game.

The other 26 defenses on the field this week are on the full board, with the players who face each one.

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The softest matchups for tight ends

Tight ends with a real workload have gained 98% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 48% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Indianapolis Colts atCincinnati Bengals Bengals

Allows 47 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Tyler Warren

25% of targets over his last four, 49 rec yds a game.

Will Mallory

15% of targets over his last four, 10 rec yds a game.

New York Giants vsDetroit Lions Lions

Allows 39 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Isaiah Likely

27% of targets over his last four, 68 rec yds a game.

Minnesota Vikings atWashington Commanders Commanders

Allows 33 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

T.J. Hockenson

20% of targets over his last four, 55 rec yds a game.

Yards and targets allowed are from each defense's final games this season. Every rank is over usual: what the defense allowed each game against that offense's own average in its other games, 1st the biggest margin, over each row's games. Shares are of the team's carries or targets over the player's last four games. Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0). The definitions and the record are on How we count.

Data and context only, never advice. By using Black Swan Stats you agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy. Not affiliated with the NFL or any team.

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