2026
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Running backs vs the defense

Week 16, 2026 2026 through week 8

Every week, the defenses that have been hardest and easiest on running backs this season, after adjusting for who they have played, and the players who face them this week. What a defense has allowed is history, never a forecast.

The toughest matchups for running backs

Backs with a real workload have gained 84% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 33% of games. Against the middle of the league, 42% have.

Los Angeles Rams vsSeattle Seahawks Seahawks

Holds them to 26 fewer rushing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Kyren Williams

56% of carries over his last four, 81 scrimmage yds a game.

Rams take 10-9 halftime lead with Kyren Williams 1-yard TD ProFootballTalk (RSS), 6 d ago

Blake Corum

39% of carries over his last four, 77 scrimmage yds a game.

Rams take 13-10 lead with Blake Corum touchdown ProFootballTalk (RSS), 33 min ago

Carolina Panthers vsPittsburgh Steelers Steelers

Holds them to 25 fewer rushing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Chuba Hubbard

75% of carries over his last four, 107 scrimmage yds a game.

Dallas Cowboys atJacksonville Jaguars Jaguars

Holds them to 22 fewer rushing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Javonte Williams

74% of carries over his last four, 81 scrimmage yds a game.

The other 26 defenses on the field this week are on the full board, with the players who face each one.

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The softest matchups for running backs

Backs with a real workload have gained 106% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 50% of games. Against the middle of the league, 42% have.

Tennessee Titans vsLas Vegas Raiders Raiders

Allows 37 more rushing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Tony Pollard

81% of carries over his last four, 105 scrimmage yds a game.

Teams are interested in Titans RB Tony Pollard, but Tennessee isn't talking (yet) ProFootballTalk (RSS), 5 d ago

Jacksonville Jaguars vsDallas Cowboys Cowboys

Allows 32 more rushing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Bhayshul Tuten

54% of carries over his last four, 93 scrimmage yds a game.

Thursday Night Football: DE Travon Walker, RB Bhayshul Tuten active for Jaguars vs. Ravens ProFootballTalk (RSS), 2 d ago

Houston Texans vsPhiladelphia Eagles Eagles

Allows 22 more rushing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Woody Marks

57% of carries over his last four, 67 scrimmage yds a game.

Woody Marks Named Houston Texans 2026 Salute To Service Award Nominee Houston Texans official site, 3 d ago

David Montgomery

40% of carries over his last four, 32 scrimmage yds a game.

Texans rule out S Reed Blankenship, RB David Montgomery ProFootballTalk (RSS), 1 d ago

Yards and targets allowed are from each defense's final games this season. Every rank is over usual: what the defense allowed each game against that offense's own average in its other games, 1st the biggest margin, over each row's games. Shares are of the team's carries or targets over the player's last four games. Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0). The definitions and the record are on How we count.

Data and context only, never advice. By using Black Swan Stats you agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy. Not affiliated with the NFL or any team.

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