2026
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Receivers vs the defense

Week 12, 2026 2026 through week 8

Every week, the defenses that have been hardest and easiest on receivers this season, after adjusting for who they have played, and the players who face them this week. What a defense has allowed is history, never a forecast.

The toughest matchups for receivers

Receivers with a real workload have gained 89% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 40% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

San Francisco 49ers atSeattle Seahawks Seahawks

Holds them to 40 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Mike Evans

26% of targets over his last four, 79 rec yds a game.

49ers WR Mike Evans is questionable ‘at best’ for next week Niners Nation, 31 min ago

Indianapolis Colts atNew York Giants Giants

Holds them to 39 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Keenan Allen

22% of targets over his last four, 56 rec yds a game.

Josh Downs

18% of targets over his last four, 32 rec yds a game.

NFL trade deadline: Buffalo Bills trade candidate – Josh Downs Buffalo Rumblings, 4 d ago

Carolina Panthers vsTampa Bay Buccaneers Buccaneers

Holds them to 34 fewer receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Tetairoa McMillan

30% of targets over his last four, 94 rec yds a game.

Jalen Coker

19% of targets over his last four, 40 rec yds a game.

The other 26 defenses on the field this week are on the full board, with the players who face each one.

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The softest matchups for receivers

Receivers with a real workload have gained 97% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 44% of games. Against the middle of the league, 40% have.

Tennessee Titans vsJacksonville Jaguars Jaguars

Allows 53 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Carnell Tate

28% of targets over his last four, 73 rec yds a game.

Carnell Tate named the offensive rookie of the month for October ProFootballTalk (RSS), 3 d ago

Wan'Dale Robinson

22% of targets over his last four, 35 rec yds a game.

Jacksonville Jaguars atTennessee Titans Titans

Allows 46 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Parker Washington

22% of targets over his last four, 66 rec yds a game.

Jakobi Meyers

18% of targets over his last four, 52 rec yds a game.

Baltimore Ravens vsHouston Texans Texans

Allows 32 more receiving yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Zay Flowers

31% of targets over his last four, 52 rec yds a game.

Yards and targets allowed are from each defense's final games this season. Every rank is over usual: what the defense allowed each game against that offense's own average in its other games, 1st the biggest margin, over each row's games. Shares are of the team's carries or targets over the player's last four games. Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0). The definitions and the record are on How we count.

Data and context only, never advice. By using Black Swan Stats you agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy. Not affiliated with the NFL or any team.

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