2026
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Quarterbacks vs the defense

Week 12, 2026 2026 through week 8

Every week, the defenses that have been hardest and easiest on quarterbacks this season, after adjusting for who they have played, and the players who face them this week. What a defense has allowed is history, never a forecast.

The toughest matchups for quarterbacks

Quarterbacks with a real workload have gained 93% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 40% of games. Against the middle of the league, 48% have.

San Francisco 49ers atSeattle Seahawks Seahawks

Holds them to 72 fewer passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Brock Purdy

32 attempts a game over his last four, 240 pass yds a game.

Indianapolis Colts atNew York Giants Giants

Holds them to 55 fewer passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Daniel Jones

34 attempts a game over his last four, 197 pass yds a game.

Daniel Jones has several million reasons to want to be traded to a contender ProFootballTalk (RSS), 5 h ago

Atlanta Falcons vsMinnesota Vikings Vikings

Holds them to 54 fewer passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Michael Penix Jr.

31 attempts a game over his last four, 201 pass yds a game.

The Falcoholic Reacts: Uncertainty about Michael Penix Jr.’s outlook The Falcoholic, 1 d ago

The other 26 defenses on the field this week are on the full board, with the players who face each one.

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The softest matchups for quarterbacks

Quarterbacks with a real workload have gained 100% of their recent average against defenses like that since 2016, and beaten it in 50% of games. Against the middle of the league, 48% have.

Chicago Bears vsDetroit Lions Lions

Allows 59 more passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Caleb Williams

32 attempts a game over his last four, 250 pass yds a game.

A Bears win on Sunday could catapult Caleb Williams back into the MVP race Windy City Gridiron, 23 h ago

New Orleans Saints vsCincinnati Bengals Bengals

Allows 57 more passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Tyler Shough

35 attempts a game over his last four, 201 pass yds a game.

Jacksonville Jaguars atTennessee Titans Titans

Allows 42 more passing yards a game than the offenses it has faced usually gain.

Trevor Lawrence

30 attempts a game over his last four, 272 pass yds a game.

Trevor Lawrence is having by far the best season of his career ProFootballTalk (RSS), 2 d ago

Yards and targets allowed are from each defense's final games this season. Every rank is over usual: what the defense allowed each game against that offense's own average in its other games, 1st the biggest margin, over each row's games. Shares are of the team's carries or targets over the player's last four games. Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0). The definitions and the record are on How we count.

Data and context only, never advice. By using Black Swan Stats you agree to the Terms and Privacy Policy. Not affiliated with the NFL or any team.

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